Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 34
May 24, 2025 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion MOS Poznan

Lech Poznan
1 - 0
Piast Gliwice

Sousa (39'), Carstensen (58')
Pereira (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Chrapek (90+1')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Lech Poznan and Piast Gliwice.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lech Poznan

All competitions
Last Game: Katowice 2-2 Lech Poznan
Sunday, May 18 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Piast Gliwice

All competitions
Last Game: Piast Gliwice 2-0 Gornik
Saturday, May 17 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 57.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Piast Gliwice had a probability of 20.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Piast Gliwice win it was 1-2 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.

Result
Lech PoznanDrawPiast Gliwice
57.95% (0.030000000000001 0.03)21.95% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)20.1% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.32% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.98% (0.015999999999998 0.02)43.01% (-0.017999999999994 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.58% (0.016999999999996 0.02)65.41% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.43% (0.016000000000005 0.02)14.57% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.36% (0.029999999999994 0.03)42.64% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Piast Gliwice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.76% (-0.012 -0.01)35.24% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.01% (-0.012 -0.01)71.99% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Lech Poznan 57.95%
    Piast Gliwice 20.1%
    Draw 21.94%
Lech PoznanDrawPiast Gliwice
2-1 @ 9.93%
1-0 @ 9.89% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 9.52% (0.0029999999999983 0)
3-1 @ 6.38% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 6.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 3.07% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 2.94% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.6% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.18% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.13% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 57.95%
1-1 @ 10.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.14% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.94%
1-2 @ 5.38% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-1 @ 5.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.79% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.87% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 20.1%

Head to Head
Nov 29, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 17
Piast Gliwice
0-0
Lech Poznan
Tomasiewicz (9'), Chrapek (29'), Piasecki (39'), Huk (62'), Karbowy (90+4')
Salamon (3'), Milic (44'), Kozubal (54')
Dec 10, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 18
Lech Poznan
0-1
Piast Gliwice

Blazic (55'), Ishak (85'), Karlstrom (90+5')
Dziczek (86' pen.)
Szczepanski (57'), Mokwa (90+9'), Mokwa (90+9')
Jul 22, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 1
Piast Gliwice
1-2
Lech Poznan
Dziczek (43' pen.)
Mosor (13')
Marchwinski (46', 54')
Karlstrom (22'), Murawski (61'), Sousa (90+1'), Sobiech (90+4')