Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 57.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Piast Gliwice had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Piast Gliwice win it was 1-2 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.