Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 33
May 18, 2025 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion ul. Bukowa

Katowice
2 - 2
Lech Poznan

Repka (14'), Nowak (59')
Jedrych (49'), Wasielewski (58'), Marzec (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Walemark (43'), Gonzalez (76')
Walemark (33'), Milic (90+1')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Katowice and Lech Poznan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Katowice

All competitions
Last Game: Katowice 2-1 Cracovia
Sunday, May 11 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Lech Poznan

All competitions
Last Game: Legia 0-1 Lech Poznan
Sunday, May 11 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 44.62%. A win for Katowice had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Katowice win was 2-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
KatowiceDrawLech Poznan
31.04% (0.064 0.06)24.34% (0.283 0.28)44.62% (-0.344 -0.34)
Both teams to score 58.49% (-0.961 -0.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.98% (-1.276 -1.28)44.01% (1.277 1.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.6% (-1.255 -1.26)66.39% (1.257 1.26)
Katowice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73% (-0.589 -0.59)27% (0.591 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.64% (-0.779 -0.78)62.35% (0.78 0.78)
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.13% (-0.664 -0.66)19.87% (0.665 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.02% (-1.085 -1.09)51.98% (1.086 1.09)
Score Analysis
    Katowice 31.04%
    Lech Poznan 44.62%
    Draw 24.33%
KatowiceDrawLech Poznan
2-1 @ 7.43% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.02% (0.271 0.27)
2-0 @ 4.6% (0.103 0.1)
3-1 @ 3.24% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.095 -0.1)
3-0 @ 2.01% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.06% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 31.04%
1-1 @ 11.35% (0.21 0.21)
2-2 @ 6% (-0.116 -0.12)
0-0 @ 5.36% (0.292 0.29)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.33%
1-2 @ 9.17% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 8.67% (0.301 0.3)
0-2 @ 7.01% (0.101 0.1)
1-3 @ 4.94% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-3 @ 3.77% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.23% (-0.132 -0.13)
1-4 @ 2% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.52% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 3%
Total : 44.62%

Head to Head
Nov 23, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 16
Lech Poznan
2-0
Katowice
Ishak (4'), Gholizadeh (57')

Galan (22'), Wasielewski (41')