Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 33
May 18, 2025 4.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion ul. Bukowa
  • Oskar Repka 14' goal
  • Arkadiusz Jedrych 49' yellowcard
  • Marcin Wasielewski 58' yellowcard
  • Bartosz Nowak 59' goal
  • Mateusz Marzec 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Patrik Walemark 33'
  • goal Patrik Walemark 43'
  • goal Mario Gonzalez 76'
  • yellowcard Antonio Milic 90'+1'

Katowice vs Lech Poznan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Katowice

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
May 11, 2025 1.45pm
Katowice 2 - 1 Cracovia
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Sebastian Bergier

Lech Poznan

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
May 11, 2025 4.30pm
Legia 0 - 1 Lech Poznan
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Mikael Ishak

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 44.62%. A win for Katowice had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Katowice win was 2-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result

Katowice 31.04% (+0.07)
Draw 24.34% (+0.29)
Lech Poznan 44.62% (-0.35)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.49% (-0.97)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.98% (-1.28)
Under 2.5 44.01% (+1.28)
Over 3.5 33.6% (-1.26)
Under 3.5 66.39% (+1.26)
Over 4.5 17.23% (-0.93)
Under 4.5 82.76% (+0.93)

Katowice Goals

Over 0.5 73% (-0.59)
Under 0.5 27% (+0.60)
Over 1.5 37.64% (-0.78)
Under 1.5 62.35% (+0.79)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5 80.13% (-0.67)
Under 0.5 19.87% (+0.67)
Over 1.5 48.02% (-1.09)
Under 1.5 51.98% (+1.09)

Score analysis

Katowice 31.04%
Draw 24.33%
Lech Poznan 44.62%
Katowice
2-1 @ 7.43% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 7.02% (+0.28)
2-0 @ 4.6% (+0.11)
3-1 @ 3.24% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.10)
3-0 @ 2.01% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.06% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 31.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.35% (+0.21)
2-2 @ 6% (-0.12)
0-0 @ 5.36% (+0.30)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.09)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.33%
Lech Poznan
1-2 @ 9.17% (-0.03)
0-1 @ 8.67% (+0.31)
0-2 @ 7.01% (+0.11)
1-3 @ 4.94% (-0.12)
0-3 @ 3.77% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.23% (-0.14)
1-4 @ 2% (-0.09)
0-4 @ 1.52% (-0.05)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.09)
Other @ 3%
Total : 44.62%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 16
Nov 23, 2024 4.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion MOS Poznan
  • Mikael Ishak 4' goal
  • Ali Gholizadeh 57' goal
  • yellowcard Borja Galan 22'
  • yellowcard Marcin Wasielewski 41'