MLS Playoffs
May 15, 2025 12.30am
3
2
HT : 0 4
FT Subaru Park
  • Nathan Harriel 5' yellowcard
  • Nathan Harriel 5' yellowcard
  • Nathan Harriel 48' goal
  • Nathan Harriel 48' goal
  • Tai Baribo 50' goal
  • Tai Baribo 50' goal
  • Tai Baribo 90'+6' goal
  • Tai Baribo 90'+6' goal
  • goal Mauricio Cuevas 31'
  • goal Mauricio Cuevas 31'
  • goal Diego Fagundez 37'
  • goal Diego Fagundez 37'
  • yellowcard John Nelson 90'+9'
  • yellowcard John Nelson 90'+9'
  • yellowcard Christian Ramirez 90'+10'
  • yellowcard Christian Ramirez 90'+10'

Philadelphia Union vs Los Angeles Galaxy - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions
MLS Playoffs
Last game
May 5, 2025 12.00am
Kansas 1 - 0 LA Galaxy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.94%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result

Philadelphia Union 44.72% (-5.96)
Draw 23.02% (-0.40)
Los Angeles Galaxy 32.25% (+6.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.85% (+5.99)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.77% (+5.93)
Under 2.5 37.23% (-5.92)
Over 3.5 40.56% (+6.12)
Under 3.5 59.44% (-6.12)
Over 4.5 22.59% (+4.74)
Under 4.5 77.4% (-4.74)

Philadelphia Union Goals

Over 0.5 82.89% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 17.11% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 52.68% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 47.32% (-0.01)

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5 77.03% (+7.22)
Under 0.5 22.97% (-7.22)
Over 1.5 43.24% (+9.59)
Under 1.5 56.75% (-9.59)

Score analysis

Philadelphia Union 44.72%
Draw 23.01%
Los Angeles Galaxy 32.25%
Philadelphia Union
2-1 @ 9.01% (-0.64)
1-0 @ 6.94% (-2.19)
2-0 @ 6.12% (-1.93)
3-1 @ 5.3% (-0.38)
3-2 @ 3.9% (+0.51)
3-0 @ 3.6% (-1.14)
4-1 @ 2.34% (-0.17)
4-2 @ 1.72% (+0.23)
4-0 @ 1.59% (-0.50)
Other @ 4.19%
Total : 44.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.2% (-0.73)
2-2 @ 6.63% (+0.86)
0-0 @ 3.93% (-1.24)
3-3 @ 1.91% (+0.56)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.01%
Los Angeles Galaxy
1-2 @ 7.51% (+0.97)
0-1 @ 5.78% (-0.41)
0-2 @ 4.25% (+0.55)
1-3 @ 3.68% (+1.07)
2-3 @ 3.25% (+0.95)
0-3 @ 2.09% (+0.61)
1-4 @ 1.35% (-76.85)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-67.81)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 32.25%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Jul 9, 2023 3.30am
3
1
HT : 4 2
FT Dignity Health Sports Park
  • Tyler Boyd 15' goal
  • Tyler Boyd 15' goal
  • Olivier Mbaizo 45'+1' goal
  • Olivier Mbaizo 45'+1' goal
  • Riqui Puig 76' goal
  • Riqui Puig 76' goal
  • goal Mikael Uhre 36'
  • goal Mikael Uhre 36'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 9
Apr 16, 2020 12.30am
Major League Soccer Gameweek 8
Apr 14, 2019 3.30am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Dignity Health Sports Park (Carson, California)
  • Zlatan Ibrahimovic 27' goal
  • Zlatan Ibrahimovic 36' goal
  • Sebastian Lletget 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kai Wagner 45'
  • yellowcard Auston Trusty 47'
  • redcard Auston Trusty 76'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 24
Jul 22, 2018 12.00am
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT Talen Energy Stadium (Chester, Pennsylvania)
  • CJ Sapong 29' goal
  • Fabrice Picault 31' yellowcard
  • Haris Medunjanin 79' yellowcard
  • goal Ola Kamara 48'
  • goal Zlatan Ibrahimovic 63'
  • yellowcard Michael Ciani 64'
  • yellowcard Romain Alessandrini 80'
  • goal Michael Ciani 82'
Major League Soccer
Apr 30, 2017 3.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jelle van Damme 44' yellowcard
  • Bradley Diallo 90' yellowcard
Major League Soccer
May 12, 2016 12.00am
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Vincent Nogueira 4' goal
  • Keegan Rosenberry 63' goal
  • goal Robbie Rogers 15'
  • goal Mike Magee 47'
  • yellowcard Robbie Rogers 70'
  • yellowcard Dan Kennedy 82'