World Cup Qualifying - South America
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-
La Joya
37'
-
La Joya
37'
-
Jose Guerrero
45'
-
Jose Guerrero
45'
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Edison Flores
82'
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Edison Flores
82'
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Miguel Terceros
58'
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Miguel Terceros
58'
Peru vs Bolivia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peru win with a probability of 76.71%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 6.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peru win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.76%) and 3-0 (12.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (7.33%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (3.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peru would win this match.
Result
Peru
76.71%
▼
(-0.61)
Draw
16.65%
▲
(+0.62)
Bolivia
6.63%
▼
(-0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
32.71%
▼
(-1.77)
Goals
Over 2.5
48.47%
▼
(-2.54)
Under 2.5
51.52%
▲
(+2.53)
Over 3.5
26.67%
▼
(-2.25)
Under 3.5
73.32%
▲
(+2.25)
Over 4.5
12.43%
▼
(-1.51)
Under 4.5
87.56%
▲
(+1.50)
Peru Goals
Over 0.5
88.35%
▼
(-0.86)
Under 0.5
11.64%
▲
(+0.86)
Over 1.5
63.31%
▼
(-1.88)
Under 1.5
36.68%
▲
(+1.87)
Bolivia Goals
Over 0.5
37.02%
▼
(-1.63)
Under 0.5
62.97%
▲
(+1.62)
Over 1.5
7.9%
▼
(-0.78)
Under 1.5
92.09%
▲
(+0.77)
Score analysis
Peru
76.7%
Draw
16.65%
Bolivia
6.63%
Peru
2-0
@
16.95%
▲
(+0.54)
1-0 @ 15.76% ▲ (+1.02)
3-0 @ 12.15% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 7.84% ▼ (-0.18)
4-0 @ 6.53% ▼ (-0.25)
3-1 @ 5.62% ▼ (-0.33)
4-1 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.30)
5-0 @ 2.81% ▼ (-0.21)
3-2 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.16)
5-1 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.18)
6-0 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 76.7%
1-0 @ 15.76% ▲ (+1.02)
3-0 @ 12.15% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 7.84% ▼ (-0.18)
4-0 @ 6.53% ▼ (-0.25)
3-1 @ 5.62% ▼ (-0.33)
4-1 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.30)
5-0 @ 2.81% ▼ (-0.21)
3-2 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.16)
5-1 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.18)
6-0 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 76.7%
Draw
0-0
@
7.33%
▲
(+0.72)
1-1 @ 7.29% ▲ (+0.10)
2-2 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 16.65%
1-1 @ 7.29% ▲ (+0.10)
2-2 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 16.65%
Bolivia
0-1
@
3.39%
▲
(+0.16)
1-2 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 6.63%
1-2 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 6.63%
