Two sides in desperate need of a victory meet at the Mac3Park Stadion on Saturday, when PEC Zwolle welcome RKC Waalwijk to town.
Zwolle were denied all three points very late in the reverse meeting, where Finn Stokkers levelled the game at 1-1 within three minutes of coming off the bench.
Match preview
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Waalwijk picked up a hard-fought point away at Vitesse last Saturday, in a game where Fred Grim's men definitely gave a good account of themselves.
That point means that they are now only two away from 16th-placed Willem II in the Eredivisie table, leaving little or no error for margin going forward.
Only Willem II and Emmen have picked up fewer points away from home than Waalwijk, who have won only two of their 10 league games away from the Mandemakers Stadion this term.
The visit to a Zwolle side that has not been particularly good at home either might represent a potential source of joy.
Zwolle were on course for a second consecutive victory on the road on Saturday as they led Utrecht 3-2 going into five minutes of additional time.
However, they would go on to lose a man as well as their lead as Hidde ter Avest struck in the last of those five minutes to level the contest, denying John Stegeman's men what would have been a priceless victory.
Unlike their visitors, The Blauwvingers are in no immediate danger of relegation, but they will still be looking to climb the table nonetheless.
Historically, there is nothing to choose from between the sides with the last 14 meetings yielding six draws, and four wins for either team.
PEC Zwolle Eredivisie form: DLLWDD
RKC Waalwijk Eredivisie form: LDDLLD
Team News
Bram Van Polen will be serving the first of his three-game suspension following his dismissal in Zwolle's draw at Utrecht last Saturday.
The home side will also be without the trio of Kenneth Paal, Mike van Duinen and Slobodan Tedic, who are all ruled out with knee, ankle and rib injuries respectively.
Fred Grim is not without injury problems of his own as he still has to make do with the absence of Ola John, who is yet to feature since hobbling off in his side's draw versus Willem II three Tuesdays ago.
Waalwijk's Morad El Haddouti and Cyril Ngonge will both sit out this one as a precautionary measure more than anything else.
PEC Zwolle possible starting lineup:
Zetterer; Nakayama, Van Polen, Kersten, Wermeskerken; Huiberts, Lam, Reijnders; Pherai, Buitink, Misidjan
RKC Waalwijk possible starting lineup:
Lamprou; Quasten, Touba, Meulensteen, Bakari; Azhil, Van Der Venne, Tahiri; Oosting, Stokkers, Daneels
We say: PEC Zwolle 2-0 RKC Waalwijk
Zwolle have struggled at home this season but so have Waalwijk away from it. Clearly, something has to give in this one, and a home victory just about looks like the more probable outcome.
Top betting tip
Adepoju Marvellous
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 45.54%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 0-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
