MX23RW : Thursday, April 25 04:39:00| >> :600:3747323:3747323:
[monks data]
Brescia logo
Serie A | Gameweek 36
Jul 25, 2020 at 4.15pm UK
Stadio Mario Rigamonti
Parma logo

Brescia
1 - 2
Parma

Dessena (62')
Torregrossa (20'), Dessena (29'), Mateju (45'), Papetti (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Darmian (59'), Kulusevski (81')

Preview: Brescia vs. Parma - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A fixture between Brescia and Parma, including team news and predicted lineups.

Parma square off against already-relegated Brescia on Saturday afternoon with fresh hope of ending the season in the top half of the Serie A standings.

Meanwhile, the away defeat to Lecce in midweek has condemned the home side to a return to the second tier after just one campaign back in the top flight.


Match preview

Parma boss Roberto D'Aversa pictured in September 2018© Reuters

After suffering six defeats in seven outings, Parma boss Roberto D'Aversa would have been forgiven for thinking that his players would struggle to get the better of an in-form Napoli side on Wednesday evening.

However, in a fixture which featured three penalties, Parma prevailed by a 2-1 scoreline with the decisive strike coming just three minutes from time.

The goal from Dejan Kulusevski, his eighth of the season, has moved his team from 13th spot to 10th, just five points adrift of a Sassuolo outfit who are beginning to falter.

Reaching that target is probably unrealistic now that just three fixtures remain on the schedule, and Parma will no doubt be satisfied with enjoying their best campaign since 2013-14.

Nevertheless, with games to come against Brescia and Lecce, D'Aversa will acknowledge that there is a window of opportunity to further improve on what has already been a solid 11 months.

From Brescia's perspective, they will be ready for the season to end after having their relegation back to Serie A confirmed in midweek.

Although the home side have recorded more points than their next opponents over the past six matches, a fourth defeat in sixth has left 17th-placed Genoa out of their reach.

With eight points separating them to Lecce and a five-point advantage being held over last-placed SPAL, Diego Lopez will naturally feel that 19th place is a near certainty regardless of their efforts in their remaining matches.

However, braced for life without star man Sandro Tonali, it gives Lopez a chance to take a look at players who can help I Biancazzurri get back into Serie A as soon as possible.

Brescia Serie A form: WLLLWL

Parma Serie A form: LLDLLW


Team News

Brescia midfielder Sandro Tonali pictured in October 2019© Reuters

With Brescia relying on the funds generated from Tonali's sale in the summer, the midfielder may be rested for this contest.

That could result in Birkir Bjarnason being provided with a start, while Ales Mateju is in contention to replace Andrea Papetti at the back.

Kulusevski is expected to come back into the Parma XI after beginning the last game as a substitute.

Roberto Inglese may also be handed a recall, potentially as a replacement for Gianluca Caprari.

Brescia possible starting lineup:
Joronen; Sabelli, Mateju, Chancellor, Mangraviti; Zmrhal, Bjarnason, Dessena, Martella; Torregrossa, Donnarumma

Parma possible starting lineup:
Sepe; Darmian, Dermaku, Alves, Pezzella; Kulusevski, Brugman, Grassi, Kurtic, Karamoh; Inglese


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Brescia 1-3 Parma

With Parma now back on track, we must go with the away side this weekend. While Brescia will want to confirm 19th spot as soon as possible, we cannot see them being able to raise their game to earn anything from this contest.



ID:407632: cacheID:407632:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:restore:6507:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 41.75%. A win for Parma had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Restore Data
Share this article now:
Inter Milan players celebrate with Ashley Young after he scored their opening goal in a win over Brescia
Read Next:
Wednesday's Serie A predictions including Inter Milan vs. Fiorentina
>
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
10am
Blanch
Nadal
10am
Cachin
Ofner
10am
Elahi Galan
Bautista-Agut
10am
Gasquet
Sonego
10am
Hanfmann
Mensik
10am
Koepfer
Carballes Baena
10am
Kovacevic
Medjedovic
10am
Lajovic
Monteiro
10am
Machac
Ruusuvuori
10am
Michelsen
Fonseca
10am
Nishioka
Auger-Aliassime
10am
O'Connell
Arnaldi
10am
Purcell
Giron
10am
Ramos-Vinolas
Kotov
10am
Tabilo
Cobolli
10am
Zhizhen
Kecmanovic
10am
Azarenka
Maria
10am
Eala
Cirstea
10am
Annie Fernandez
Potapova
10am
Gauff
Rus
10am
Keys
Camelia-Begu
10am
Podoroska
Navarro
10am
Karolina Schmiedlova
Jabeur
10am
Swiatek
Wang
10am
Baez
Van Assche
10am
Coric
Zverev
10am
Martin Etcheverry
Shapovalov
10am
Humbert
Van De Zandschulp
10am
Hurkacz
Draper
10am
Marozsan
Cerundolo
10am
Paul
Klein
10am
Rublev
Bagnis
10am
Altmaier
Fils
10am
Darderi
Fritz
10am
Griekspoor
Daniel
10am
Munar
Struff
10am
Musetti
Seyboth Wild
10am
Navone
Rune
10am
Shevchenko
Alcaraz
10am
Alexandrova
Krueger
10am
Andreeva
Noskova
10am
Bejlek
Kalinskaya
10am
Boulter
Montgomery
10am
Bronzetti
Rybakina
10am
Collins
Danilovic
3pm
Cristian
Krejcikova
10am
Dolehide
Kalinina
10am
Garcia
Wang
10am
Linette
Sabalenka
10am
Pavlyuchenkova
Saville
10am
Sorribes Tormo
Svitolina
10am
Vekic
Sakkari
11.30am
Arango
Yastremska
11.30am
Osaka
Samsonova
11.30am
Ostapenko
Bouzas Maneiro
1pm
Haddad Maia
Errani
2.30pm
Lourdes Carle
Kudermetova
2.30pm
Mertens
Stephens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Parma342010459322770
2Como34207754371767
3VeneziaVenezia34197862392364
4Cremonese34179843281560
5CatanzaroCatanzaro341681053421156
6Palermo3414101058481052
7Brescia341113103835346
8Sampdoria34138134748-145
9Pisa341111124546-144
10Cittadella341111123740-344
11SudtirolSudtirol341110134041-143
12Modena34816103744-740
13Reggiana34816103442-840
14Cosenza CalcioCosenza34912133938139
15Ternana34910153845-737
16BariBari34715123343-1036
17SpeziaSpezia34715123146-1536
18AscoliAscoli34713143338-534
19FeralpiSaloFeralpiSalo3487194059-1931
20Lecco3468203262-3026


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!