Aug 2, 2026 8.00pm

3

0

HT : 0 0

FT Allianz Parque

Murilo 27'
Mauricio 48'
Jhon Arias 64'
José Manuel López 85'

João Ricardo 43'
Gabriel Fuentes 75'

Palmeiras vs Fortaleza - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

All competitions

W
L
W
W
W
W

Fortaleza

All competitions

D
W
W
W
W
L

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 53.84%. A draw had a probability of 25.65% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 20.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%) , while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result

Palmeiras 53.84% ▼ (-0.25)

Draw 25.65% ▲ (+0.06)

Fortaleza 20.51% ▲ (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score:

46.59% ▼ (-0.09)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.24% ▼ (-0.24)

Under 1.5 28.76% ▲ (+0.24)

Over 2.5 45.56% ▼ (-0.16)

Under 2.5 54.44% ▲ (+0.15)

Over 3.5 23.77% ▼ (-0.16)

Under 3.5 76.23% ▲ (+0.16)

Over 4.5 13.65% ▼ (-0.12)

Under 4.5 86.35% ▲ (+0.12)

First Half Winner

Palmeiras 38.91% ▼ (-0.09)

Draw 42.75% ▲ (+0.12)

Fortaleza 18.34% ▼ (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Palmeiras 62.27% ▼ (-0.04)

No Goal 8.42% ▲ (+0.07)

Fortaleza 29.31% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 65.66% ▼ (-0.19)

Equal 8 10.11% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 8 24.23% ▲ (+0.17)

Over 9 54.7% ▼ (-0.18)

Equal 9 10.96% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 9 34.34% ▲ (+0.19)

Over 10.5 43.78% ▼ (-0.18)

Under 10.5 56.22% ▲ (+0.18)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 1.5 47.04% ▼ (-0.33)

Under 1.5 52.96% ▲ (+0.33)

Over 2.5 21.34% ▼ (-0.24)

Under 2.5 78.66% ▲ (+0.24)

Over 3.5 7.99% ▼ (-0.12)

Under 3.5 92.01% ▲ (+0.13)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5 54.34% ▲ (+0.07)

Under 0.5 45.66% ▼ (-0.07)

Over 1.5 20.45% ▲ (+0.09)

Under 1.5 79.55% ▼ (-0.10)

Over 2.5 6.21% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 2.5 93.79% ▼ (-0.02)

Over 3.5 1.45% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 3.5 98.55% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Palmeiras 53.83%

Draw 25.65%

Fortaleza 20.51%

Palmeiras

1-0 @ 13.09% ▲ (+0.07)

2-0 @ 10.59% ▼ (-0.08)

2-1 @ 9.72% ▼ (-0.01)

3-0 @ 5.72% ▼ (-0.07)

3-1 @ 4.63% ▼ (-0.07)

3-2 @ 2.25%

Other @ 7.83% ▼ (-0.13)

Total : 53.83%

Draw

1-1 @ 12.3%

0-0 @ 8.42% ▲ (+0.07)

2-2 @ 4.02%

Other @ 0.16%

Total : 25.65%

Fortaleza

0-1 @ 7.24% ▲ (+0.05)

1-2 @ 5.17% ▲ (+0.05)

0-2 @ 2.8% ▲ (+0.03)

1-3 @ 1.46%

2-3 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.01)

0-3 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.03)

Other @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.02)

Total : 20.51%

Head to Head

Sep 21, 2025 1.00am

4

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Apr 20, 2025 10.30pm

1

2

HT : 0 1

FT Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo

Allanzinho 29'
Deyverson 70'

Facundo Torres 45'+4'
Jose Manuel Lopez 58'
Richard Rios 81'

Oct 26, 2024 8.30pm

2

2

HT : 1 1

FT Allianz Parque

Mayke 18'
Raphael Veiga 29'
Estevao Willian 57'

Eros Mancuso 24'
Hercules 39'
Moises 63'
Titi 72'
Pedro Augusto 88'
Juan Martin Lucero 90'+3'
Emanuel Britez 90'+6'
Pedro Augusto 90'+7'

Jun 27, 2024 1.30am

3

0

HT : 2 0

FT Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo

Juan Martin Lucero 9'
Juan Martin Lucero 9'
Pedro Augusto 12'
Pedro Augusto 12'
Juan Martin Lucero 47'
Juan Martin Lucero 47'
Emanuel Britez 67'
Emanuel Britez 67'
Bruno Pacheco 69'
Bruno Pacheco 69'

Rony 46'
Rony 46'
Anibal Moreno 57'
Anibal Moreno 57'

Nov 26, 2023 9.30pm

2

2

HT : 1 0

FT Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo

Bruno Pacheco 14'
Thiago Galhardo 20'
Calebe 70'
Marinho 90'+7'

Gustavo Gomez 59'
Raphael Veiga 66'
Mayke 74'
Gustavo Garcia 75'
Ze Rafael 77'
Abel Ferreira 90'+6'

Jul 22, 2023 8.00pm

3

1

HT : 1 1

FT Allianz Parque

Richard Rios 8'
Raphael Veiga 76'
Joaquin Piquerez 79'
Ze Rafael 81'
Weverton 83'
Breno Lopes 90'+6'

Marcelo 6'
Titi 9'
Juan Martin Lucero 45'
J. P. Vojvoda 72'
Lucas Sasha 75'
Jose Welison 78'
Emanuel Britez 82'
Silvio Romero 85'

Form Data

Vitoria 0 - 4 Palmeiras

Palmeiras 1 - 2 Atletico Mineiro

Coritiba 1 - 3 Palmeiras

Palmeiras 1 - 0 Chapecoense

Palmeiras 4 - 1 Junior

Flamengo 0 - 3 Palmeiras

CRB 0 - 0 Fortaleza

Fortaleza 2 - 1 CRB

Nova Iguacu 0 - 1 Fortaleza

Manauara 0 - 1 Fortaleza

Fortaleza 4 - 3 Maguary PE

Botafogo 4 - 2 Fortaleza