Coppa Italia
Aug 17, 2026 8.15pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Renzo Barbera
  • Dominic Vavassori 14' goal
  • Antonio Palumbo 20' yellowcard
  • Joel Pohjanpalo 42' goal
  • yellowcard Lassana Coulibaly 35'

Palermo vs Lecce - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Palermo

All competitions

Lecce

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 53.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 22.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.07%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%) , while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result

Palermo 53.12% (+1.66)
Draw 24.8% (-0.45)
Lecce 22.08% (-1.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.14% (+1.87)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.71% (+2.81)
Under 1.5 22.29% (-2.82)
Over 2.5 54.25% (+3.36)
Under 2.5 45.75% (-3.36)
Over 3.5 32.07% (+2.27)
Under 3.5 67.93% (-2.27)
Over 4.5 20.23% (+2.00)
Under 4.5 79.77% (-2.00)

First Half Winner

Palermo 38.91% (-0.43)
Draw 40.81% (-0.45)
Lecce 20.28% (+0.88)

Team To Score First

Palermo 59.97% (-2.25)
No Goal 6.68% (-0.86)
Lecce 33.35% (+3.09)

Corners

Over 8 59.07% (-1.78)
Equal 8 10.28% (+0.10)
Under 8 30.65% (+1.67)
Over 9 48.54% (-1.68)
Equal 9 10.52% (-0.10)
Under 9 40.93% (+1.78)
Over 10.5 38.54% (-1.43)
Under 10.5 61.46% (+1.43)

Palermo Goals

Over 1.5 51.92% (+3.42)
Under 1.5 48.08% (-3.42)
Over 2.5 27.27% (+2.77)
Under 2.5 72.73% (-2.77)
Over 3.5 12.22% (+1.56)
Under 3.5 87.78% (-1.55)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5 56.57% (-0.15)
Under 0.5 43.43% (+0.15)
Over 1.5 25.61% (+0.60)
Under 1.5 74.39% (-0.60)
Over 2.5 9.46% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 90.54% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 2.72% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 97.28% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Palermo 53.13%
Draw 24.79%
Lecce 22.07%
Palermo
1-0 @ 9.8% (-1.10)
2-0 @ 9.07% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 8.73% (+0.33)
3-0 @ 6.15% (+0.70)
3-1 @ 5.01% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.65% (+0.34)
Other @ 11.72% (+1.48)
Total : 53.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.42% (-0.25)
0-0 @ 6.68% (-0.86)
2-2 @ 4.95% (+0.40)
3-3 @ 1.24% (+0.17)
Other @ 0.5% (+0.09)
Total : 24.79%
Lecce
0-1 @ 5.8% (-0.87)
1-2 @ 5.58% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 2.97% (-0.25)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.15)
0-3 @ 1.72% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.22% (-0.05)
Total : 22.07%

Head to Head

Serie B Gameweek 27
Mar 2, 2019 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Renzo Barbera (Palermo)
  • Aleksandar Trajkovski 4' goal
  • Ilija Nestorovski 38' yellowcard
  • George Puscas 52' goal
  • Alessandro Salvi 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fabio Lucioni 32'
  • yellowcard Marco Mancosu 45'
  • yellowcard Biagio Meccariello 55'
  • goal Andrea Tabanelli 90'
Serie B Gameweek 8
Oct 21, 2018 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare (Lecce)
  • Andrea Tabanelli 37' goal
  • Andrea La Mantia 65' yellowcard
  • goal Ilija Nestorovski 29'
  • yellowcard Antonio Mazzotta 51'
  • yellowcard Mato Jajalo 52'
  • goal George Puscas 85'
  • yellowcard Ilija Nestorovski 87'
  • yellowcard Alberto Brignoli 89'