Olympic Games Men's Football
Jul 27, 2024 2.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Stade Matmut-Atlantique
  • Angel Montes De Oca 38' goal
  • Edison Azcona 45'+1' redcard
  • goal Fermin Lopez 24'
  • yellowcard Pau Cubarsi 45'+2'
  • goal Alex Baena 55'
  • goal Miguel Gutierrez 70'
  • yellowcard Jon Pacheco 90'+3'

Dominican Republic Under-23s vs Spain Under-23s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Dominican Republic Under-23s

All competitions
Olympic Games Men's Football
Last game
Jul 24, 2024 4.00pm
Egypt U23s 0 - 0 Dominican Republic U23s

Spain Under-23s

All competitions
Olympic Games Men's Football
Last game
Jul 24, 2024 2.00pm
Uzbekistan U23s 1 - 2 Spain U23s

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Under-23s win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Dominican Republic Under-23s had a probability of 37.05% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.06%) and 0-1 (4.99%). The likeliest Dominican Republic Under-23s win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain Under-23s would win this match.

Result

Dominican Republic Under-23s 37.05% (-13.95)
Draw 21.85% (-0.51)
Spain Under-23s 41.1% (+14.45)

Both Teams to Score: 

69.88% (+7.53)

Goals

Over 2.5 70.04% (+7.59)
Under 2.5 29.96% (-7.59)
Over 3.5 48.86% (+8.64)
Under 3.5 51.14% (-8.64)
Over 4.5 29.7% (+7.38)
Under 4.5 70.3% (-7.38)

Dominican Republic Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5 82.78% (-2.27)
Under 0.5 17.22% (+2.27)
Over 1.5 52.48% (-4.15)
Under 1.5 47.52% (+4.15)

Spain Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5 84.42% (+11.10)
Under 0.5 15.58% (-11.10)
Over 1.5 55.45% (+17.38)
Under 1.5 44.55% (-17.38)

Score analysis

Dominican Republic Under-23s 37.05%
Draw 21.85%
Spain Under-23s 41.1%
Dominican Republic Under-23s
2-1 @ 7.72% (-1.80)
1-0 @ 4.72% (-2.87)
3-1 @ 4.53% (-1.51)
3-2 @ 4.21% (+0.23)
2-0 @ 4.15% (-3.06)
3-0 @ 2.43% (-2.13)
4-1 @ 1.99% (-0.88)
4-2 @ 1.85% (-0.05)
4-3 @ 1.15% (-82.16)
4-0 @ 1.07% (-1.10)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 37.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.78% (-1.24)
2-2 @ 7.17% (+0.89)
0-0 @ 2.68% (-1.31)
3-3 @ 2.61% (+0.86)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 21.85%
Spain Under-23s
1-2 @ 8.16% (+1.54)
1-3 @ 5.06% (+2.14)
0-1 @ 4.99% (-0.29)
0-2 @ 4.64% (+1.16)
2-3 @ 4.45% (+1.68)
0-3 @ 2.87% (+1.34)
1-4 @ 2.35% (-93.96)
2-4 @ 2.07% (-89.44)
0-4 @ 1.34% (-49.37)
3-4 @ 1.21% (-56.69)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 41.1%