Tokyo 2020

Olympic Games Men's Football | Semi-Finals

Aug 3, 2021 at 12pm UK

Japan U23s
0 - 1
Spain U23s

Sakai (99')

FT
(aet)

Asensio (115')
Gil (13'), Merino (51'), Zubimendi (90+5'), Vallejo (110'), Asensio (115'), Mir (117')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Olympic Games Men's Football clash between Japan Under-23s and Spain Under-23s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Under-23s win with a probability of 39.45%. A win for Japan Under-23s had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain Under-23s win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Japan Under-23s win was 1-0 (11.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%).

Result
Japan Under-23s	Draw	Spain Under-23s
31.69%	28.86%	39.45%

Both teams to score 44.76%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.27%

61.73%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.46%

81.54%

Japan Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.4%

35.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.63%

72.37%

Spain Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.5%

30.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.29%

66.71%

Score Analysis

Japan Under-23s 31.69%

Spain Under-23s 39.44%

Draw 28.84%

Japan Under-23s	Draw	Spain Under-23s
1-0 @ 11.21% 2-1 @ 6.88% 2-0 @ 5.79% 3-1 @ 2.37% 3-0 @ 1.99% 3-2 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.05% Total : 31.69%	1-1 @ 13.31% 0-0 @ 10.85% 2-2 @ 4.08% Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.84%	0-1 @ 12.89% 1-2 @ 7.91% 0-2 @ 7.66% 1-3 @ 3.13% 0-3 @ 3.03% 2-3 @ 1.62% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.28% Total : 39.44%