Paris 2024

Olympic Games Men's Football | Group Stage

Jul 24, 2024 at 2pm UK

Parc des Princes

Uzbekistan U23s
1 - 2
Spain U23s

Shomurodov (45+3' pen.)
Jaloliddinov (36'), Bo'riyev (61'), Kholmatov (68')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Pubill (29'), Gomez (62')
Cubarsi (7'), Pubill (37'), Bernabe (80'), Ruiz (82'), Omorodion (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Olympic Games Men's Football clash between Uzbekistan Under-23s and Spain Under-23s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uzbekistan Under-23s

Last Game: Uzbekistan U23s 2-2 Saudi Arabia U23s
Tuesday, November 19 at 3.15pm in International Friendlies

Spain Under-23s

Last Game: Brazil U23s 2-1 Spain U23s
Saturday, August 7 at 12.30pm in Olympic Games Men's Football

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan Under-23s win with a probability of 93.44%. A draw had a probability of 5.5% and a win for Spain Under-23s had a probability of 1.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan Under-23s win was 3-0 with a probability of 17.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.33%) and 4-0 (14.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (2.71%), while for a Spain Under-23s win it was 0-1 (0.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Spain Under-23s in this match.

Result
Uzbekistan Under-23s	Draw	Spain Under-23s
93.44% ( 0.39)	5.46% ( -0.63)	1.1% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 21% (

6.75)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.85% (

6.87)

30.15% (

-6.87)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.62% (

7.83)

51.37% (

-7.83)

Uzbekistan Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

96.53% (

1.11)

3.47% (

-1.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

84.87% (

3.55)

15.13% (

-3.55)

Spain Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

21.76% (

6.82)

78.24% (

-6.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

2.56% (

1.39)

97.44% (

-1.38)

Score Analysis

Uzbekistan Under-23s 93.43%

Spain Under-23s 1.1%

Draw 5.46%

Uzbekistan Under-23s	Draw	Spain Under-23s
3-0 @ 17.17% ( -1.86) 2-0 @ 15.33% ( -3.17) 4-0 @ 14.43% ( -0.25) 5-0 @ 9.71% ( 0.65) 1-0 @ 9.12% ( -2.87) 6-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.78) 3-1 @ 4.22% ( 1.14) 2-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.77) 4-1 @ 3.54% ( 1.17) 7-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.56) 5-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.92) 6-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.58) 8-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.31) Other @ 3.29% Total : 93.43%	0-0 @ 2.71% ( -1.18) 1-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.3) Other @ 0.51% Total : 5.46%	Other @ 1.1% Total : 1.1%