Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan Under-23s win with a probability of 93.44%. A draw had a probability of 5.5% and a win for Spain Under-23s had a probability of 1.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan Under-23s win was 3-0 with a probability of 17.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.33%) and 4-0 (14.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (2.71%), while for a Spain Under-23s win it was 0-1 (0.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Spain Under-23s in this match.