Tokyo 2020

Olympic Games Men's Football | Gold Medal match

Aug 7, 2021 at 12.30pm UK

Nissan Stadium

Brazil U23s
2 - 1
Spain U23s

Cunha (45+2'), Malcom (108')
Arana (20'), Richarlison (31'), Cunha (64'), Luiz (89')

FT
(aet)

Oyarzabal (61')
Garcia (27'), Gil (105+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Olympic Games Men's Football clash between Brazil Under-23s and Spain Under-23s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil Under-23s win with a probability of 40.56%. A draw had a probability of 32.3% and a win for Spain Under-23s had a probability of 27.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil Under-23s win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 2-1 (6.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.2%), while for a Spain Under-23s win it was 0-1 (12.74%).

Result
Brazil Under-23s	Draw	Spain Under-23s
40.56%	32.3%	27.13%

Both teams to score 35.07%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

27.46%

72.54%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

11.19%

88.81%

Brazil Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.42%

35.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.66%

72.34%

Spain Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.43%

45.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.62%

81.38%

Score Analysis

Brazil Under-23s 40.56%

Spain Under-23s 27.13%

Draw 32.29%

Brazil Under-23s	Draw	Spain Under-23s
1-0 @ 16.75% 2-0 @ 8.66% 2-1 @ 6.81% 3-0 @ 2.98% 3-1 @ 2.35% 3-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.09% Total : 40.56%	0-0 @ 16.2% 1-1 @ 13.16% 2-2 @ 2.68% Other @ 0.25% Total : 32.29%	0-1 @ 12.74% 1-2 @ 5.18% 0-2 @ 5.01% 1-3 @ 1.36% 0-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.54% Total : 27.13%