Tokyo 2020

Olympic Games Men's Football | Semi-Finals

Aug 3, 2021 at 9am UK

Mexico U23s
0 - 0
Brazil U23s

Montes (40'), Lainez (74'), Lorona (76'), Romo (105')

Carlos (37'), Antony (64'), Guimaraes (72'), Jesus (76'), Luiz (108')

Brazil U23s win 4-1 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Olympic Games Men's Football clash between Mexico Under-23s and Brazil Under-23s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico Under-23s win with a probability of 50.75%. A win for Brazil Under-23s had a probability of 26.24% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Brazil Under-23s win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Mexico Under-23s	Draw	Brazil Under-23s
50.75%	23.01%	26.24%

Both teams to score 59.59%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.98%

41.01%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.59%

63.41%

Mexico Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.7%

16.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.13%

45.87%

Brazil Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.2%

28.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.35%

64.65%

Score Analysis

Mexico Under-23s 50.75%

Brazil Under-23s 26.24%

Draw 23.01%

Mexico Under-23s	Draw	Brazil Under-23s
2-1 @ 9.62% 1-0 @ 8.52% 2-0 @ 7.72% 3-1 @ 5.81% 3-0 @ 4.67% 3-2 @ 3.62% 4-1 @ 2.64% 4-0 @ 2.12% 4-2 @ 1.64% 5-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.44% Total : 50.75%	1-1 @ 10.6% 2-2 @ 5.98% 0-0 @ 4.69% 3-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.01%	1-2 @ 6.6% 0-1 @ 5.84% 0-2 @ 3.64% 1-3 @ 2.74% 2-3 @ 2.48% 0-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 3.43% Total : 26.24%