Olympic Games Men's Football
Jul 28, 2021 12.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Sapporo Dome
  • Katlego Mohamme 4' yellowcard
  • Tercious Malepe 58' redcard
  • Thabo Cele 75' yellowcard
  • goal Alexis Vega 18'
  • goal Luis Romo 45'
  • goal Henry Martin 60'
  • redcard Carlos Rodriguez 66'

South Africa Under-23s vs Mexico Under-23s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

South Africa Under-23s

All competitions
Olympic Games Men's Football
Last game
Jul 25, 2021 9.00am
France U23s 4 - 3 South Africa U23s

Mexico Under-23s

All competitions
Olympic Games Men's Football
Last game
Jul 25, 2021 12.00pm
Japan U23s 2 - 1 Mexico U23s

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico Under-23s win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for South Africa Under-23s had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico Under-23s win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.59%) and 1-2 (7.5%). The likeliest South Africa Under-23s win was 1-0 (12.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mexico Under-23s would win this match.

Result

South Africa Under-23s 31.83%
Draw 29.85%
Mexico Under-23s 38.32%

Both Teams to Score: 

42.18%

Goals

Over 2.5 35.11%
Under 2.5 64.89%
Over 3.5 16.19%
Under 3.5 83.81%

South Africa Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5 62.77%
Under 0.5 37.22%
Over 1.5 25.99%
Under 1.5 74.01%

Mexico Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5 67.2%
Under 0.5 32.8%
Over 1.5 30.63%
Under 1.5 69.37%

Score analysis

South Africa Under-23s 31.83%
Draw 29.85%
Mexico Under-23s 38.32%
South Africa Under-23s
1-0 @ 12.06%
2-1 @ 6.65%
2-0 @ 5.96%
3-1 @ 2.19%
3-0 @ 1.96%
3-2 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 31.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.45%
0-0 @ 12.21%
2-2 @ 3.7%
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 29.85%
Mexico Under-23s
0-1 @ 13.61%
0-2 @ 7.59%
1-2 @ 7.5%
0-3 @ 2.82%
1-3 @ 2.79%
2-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 38.32%