Paris 2024

Olympic Games Women's Football | Group Stage

Jul 28, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade Geoffroy-Guichard

France Women
1 - 2
Canada Women

Katoto (42')
Toletti (76')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Fleming (58'), Gilles (90+12')
Lawrence (45+2')

Coverage of the Olympic Games Women's Football Group Stage clash between France Women and Canada Women.

Form, Standings, Stats

France Women

All competitions

Olympic Games Women's Football

Last Game: France Women 3-2 Colombia Women
Thursday, July 25 at 8pm in Olympic Games Women's Football

Canada Women

All competitions

Olympic Games Women's Football

Last Game: Canada Women 2-1 New Zealand W
Thursday, July 25 at 4pm in Olympic Games Women's Football

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France Women win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for Canada Women had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a France Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Canada Women win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
France Women	Draw	Canada Women
46.23% ( 0.77)	25.92% ( -0.04)	27.85% ( -0.73)

Both teams to score 51.38% (

-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.56% (

-0.23)

52.44% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.88% (

-0.2)

74.12% (

0.19)

France Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.35% (

0.26)

22.65% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.71% (

0.39)

56.29% (

-0.39)

Canada Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.43% (

-0.68)

33.57% (

0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.78% (

-0.75)

70.22% (

0.75)

Score Analysis

France Women 46.23%

Canada Women 27.85%

Draw 25.92%

France Women	Draw	Canada Women
1-0 @ 11.29% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.11% Total : 46.23%	1-1 @ 12.32% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.06) Other @ 1% Total : 25.92%	0-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.38% Total : 27.85%