Olympic Games Women's Football
Jul 28, 2024 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
  • Marie-Antoinette Katoto 42' goal
  • Sandie Toletti 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ashley Lawrence 45'+2'
  • goal Jessie Fleming 58'
  • goal Vanessa Gilles 90'+12'

France Women vs Canada Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

France Women

All competitions
Olympic Games Women's Football
Last game
Jul 25, 2024 8.00pm
France Women 3 - 2 Colombia Women

Canada Women

All competitions
Olympic Games Women's Football
Last game
Jul 25, 2024 4.00pm
Canada Women 2 - 1 New Zealand W

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France Women win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for Canada Women had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a France Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Canada Women win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result

France Women 46.23% (+0.78)
Draw 25.92% (-0.05)
Canada Women 27.85% (-0.73)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.38% (-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.56% (-0.23)
Under 2.5 52.44% (+0.23)
Over 3.5 25.88% (-0.20)
Under 3.5 74.12% (+0.20)
Over 4.5 11.92% (-0.13)
Under 4.5 88.08% (+0.13)

France Women Goals

Over 0.5 77.35% (+0.27)
Under 0.5 22.65% (-0.27)
Over 1.5 43.71% (+0.39)
Under 1.5 56.29% (-0.39)

Canada Women Goals

Over 0.5 66.43% (-0.69)
Under 0.5 33.57% (+0.69)
Over 1.5 29.78% (-0.75)
Under 1.5 70.22% (+0.75)

Score analysis

France Women 46.23%
Draw 25.92%
Canada Women 27.85%
France Women
1-0 @ 11.29% (+0.19)
2-1 @ 9.15% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 8.39% (+0.21)
3-1 @ 4.53% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 4.15% (+0.14)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.68% (+0.04)
4-0 @ 1.54% (+0.07)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 46.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.32% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.61% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.07)
Other @ 1%
Total : 25.92%
Canada Women
0-1 @ 8.3% (-0.09)
1-2 @ 6.73% (-0.14)
0-2 @ 4.53% (-0.13)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.10)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 1.65% (-0.08)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 27.85%