Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France Women win with a probability of 91.4%. A draw had a probability of 6.6% and a win for Morocco Women had a probability of 1.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a France Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 15.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.49%) and 4-0 (12.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.09%), while for a Morocco Women win it was 0-1 (0.93%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France Women would win this match.