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Norwich logo
Championship | Gameweek 20
Dec 19, 2020 at 12.30pm UK
Carrow Road
Cardiff City logo

Norwich
2 - 0
Cardiff

Buendia (27'), Cantwell (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Nelson (54'), Ojo (57'), Bacuna (82'), Wilson (90+5')

Preview: Norwich City vs. Cardiff City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Championship leaders Norwich City have the chance to tighten their grip on top spot when they welcome Cardiff City to Carrow Road on Saturday lunchtime.

The Canaries are three points clear at the summit, while Cardiff are nine places worse off and fighting to stay in promotion contention.


Match preview

Teemu Pukki celebrates with teammates after scoring for Norwich City against Blackburn Rovers in the Championship on December 12, 2020© Reuters

Norwich have now won each of their last four matches by the same 2-1 scoreline after overcoming fellow promotion contenders Reading on Wednesday evening.

Michael Olise quickly levelled after Emi Buendia had opened the scoring for Norwich, but Teemu Pukki's penalty 10 minutes into the second half proved the difference in Berkshire.

With Watford drawing at home to Brentford, Daniel Farke's men now have a six-point cushion on third place as they seek an instant return to the top flight.

Farke insists that he is taking nothing for granted, however, with a busy run of fixtures to come over the coming weeks.

Norwich's festive programme continues with this visit of Cardiff, who are the only side in the division in better form than their opponents over their last six matches.

Losing to bitter rivals Swansea City in the South Wales derby was a tough one for Neil Harris to take, but his side have won five games either side of that setback.

Cardiff City's Harry Wilson celebrates scoring with teammates against Barnsley on November 3, 2020© Reuters

Wednesday's thrilling 3-2 victory over Birmingham City ensures that the Bluebirds are still in the promotion mix, three points off the top six with 27 matches still to go.

Sean Morrison was the last-minute hero for Cardiff in a match that also saw Robert Glatzel and Harry Wilson net in the absence of star striker Kieffer Moore.

Cardiff now need to maintain their momentum and have a good recent record in this fixture, having completed the double over Norwich the last time the sides were in the same league.

In fact, Norwich have lost more league games at home to Cardiff in the last seven clashes (two) than they did across the first 19 times they hosted the Bluebirds (one).

That sets up what should be a tight encounter between the division's most in-form sides.

Norwich City Championship form: DLWWWW

Cardiff City Championship form: WWWWLW


Team News

Onel Hernandez scores for Norwich City on March 30, 2019© Reuters

Norwich are still without a number of injured players, including the likes of goalkeeper Tim Krul, young attacker Adam Idah and winger Onel Hernandez.

Farke made a couple of changes at half time against Reading and praised the performance of Kieran Dowell, so he could return to the side this weekend.

As for Cardiff, Harris is having to make do without Moore and Lee Tomlin until the New Year, while full-back Jordi Osei-Tutu is also sidelined.

Joe Ralls is back from suspension following his red card against Swansea, however, while Mark Harris is another pushing for a recall to the XI.

Norwich City possible starting lineup:
McGovern; Aarons, Zimmermann, Hanley, Sorensen; Skipp, McLean; Cantwell, Buendia, Martin; Pukki

Cardiff City possible starting lineup:
Smithies; Bacuna, Morrison, Nelson, Bennett; Vaulks, Pack, Ralls; Wilson, Glatzel, Ojo


SM words green background

We say: Norwich City 1-1 Cardiff City

Norwich have taken 12 points from the last 12 on offer, while Cardiff have accrued 15 from the last 18, making them the Championship's most in-form sides.

Visiting boss Harris has lost his last three games against the Canaries, but we can see his side taking a point from this weekend's trip to Carrow Road.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 35.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.


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Cardiff City manager Neil Harris pictured in October 2020
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