NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 5
Apr 26, 2025 at 3pm UK
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena

Carrick
0 - 4
Glenavon


Gordon (73'), (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McGovern (18'), Campbell (54', 85'), Heaney (75')
(73'), O'Sullivan (73')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Glenavon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carrick Rangers

All competitions
Last Game: Loughgall 2-2 Carrick
Saturday, April 19 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Glenavon

All competitions
Last Game: Glenavon 2-0 Ballymena
Saturday, April 19 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 36.85%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 36.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.

Result
Carrick RangersDrawGlenavon
36.56% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)26.59% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)36.85% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Both teams to score 52.25% (0.07 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.32% (0.085999999999999 0.09)52.68% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.67% (0.073999999999998 0.07)74.32% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.2% (0.010000000000005 0.01)27.79% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.61% (0.012999999999998 0.01)63.38% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.37% (0.082999999999998 0.08)27.62% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.83% (0.109 0.11)63.16% (-0.116 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Carrick Rangers 36.56%
    Glenavon 36.85%
    Draw 26.58%
Carrick RangersDrawGlenavon
1-0 @ 9.83% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.1% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 6.29% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.46% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.69% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.22% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 36.56%
1-1 @ 12.64% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.68% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.21% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.58%
0-1 @ 9.88% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.14% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.35% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.49% (0.015 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.73% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.23% (0.01 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.12% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 36.85%

Head to Head
Jan 25, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 27
Glenavon
2-1
Carrick
Campbell (49'), McGovern (90+3')
Malone (48'), Campbell (69')
Purkis (89')
Buchanan-Rolleston (12')
Buchanan-Rolleston (23')
Oct 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 14
Glenavon
1-1
Carrick
McDaid (90+1')
Buchanan-Rolleston (72')
Cushley (89' pen.)
Clucas (65'), Heatley (90+5'), Buchanan-Rolleston (90+2')
Glendinning (45+2')
Aug 10, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 1
Carrick
2-0
Glenavon
Allen (16'), Macuilaitis (32')
Stewart (42')

Carroll (76')
Apr 27, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 5
Glenavon
1-2
Carrick
Teggart (40')
Wallace (53'), McGuckin (87')
Garrett (90+2')
Cushley (21' pen.), Allen (30')
Ward (85')
Teelan (90+3')
Jan 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 25
Carrick
0-2
Glenavon

McGuckin (65'), Cherry (90+3'), Crowe (90+4'), Glendinning (90+5')
Crowe (90+5')
Snoddy (45'), Campbell (70')
Wallace (59'), Snoddy (81')
rhs 2.0


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