NIFL Premiership Gameweek 5
Carrick
Apr 26, 2025 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
Glenavon
  • Steven Gordon 73' yellowcard
  • 83' yellowcard
  • goal Paul McGovern 18'
  • goal Peter Campbell 54'
  • yellowcard 73'
  • yellowcard Len O'Sullivan 73'
  • goal Aaron Heaney 75'
  • goal Peter Campbell 85'

Carrick Rangers vs Glenavon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Carrick Rangers

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Apr 19, 2025 3.00pm
Loughgall 2 - 2 Carrick
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Dan Purkis

Glenavon

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Apr 19, 2025 3.00pm
Glenavon 2 - 0 Ballymena
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Peter Campbell

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 36.85%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 36.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.

Result

Carrick Rangers 36.56% ▼ (-0.06)
Draw 26.59% ▼ (-0.03)
Glenavon 36.85% ▲ (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.25% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.32% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 52.68% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 25.67% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 74.32% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 4.5 11.78% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 4.5 88.21% ▼ (-0.06)

Carrick Rangers Goals

Over 0.5 72.2% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 27.79% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 36.61% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 63.38% ▼ (-0.03)

Glenavon Goals

Over 0.5 72.37% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 0.5 27.62% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 1.5 36.83% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 63.16% ▼ (-0.12)

Score analysis

Carrick Rangers 36.56%
Draw 26.58%
Glenavon 36.85%
Carrick Rangers
1-0 @ 9.83% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 8.1% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.29% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.46% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.69% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 36.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.64% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.68% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.21% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 26.58%
Glenavon
0-1 @ 9.88% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 8.14% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.35% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.49% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.23% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 36.85%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership Gameweek 27
Glenavon
Jan 25, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Mourneview Park
Carrick
  • Jack Malone 48' yellowcard
  • Peter Campbell 49' goal
  • Peter Campbell 49' goal
  • Peter Campbell 69' yellowcard
  • Paul McGovern 90'+3' goal
  • Paul McGovern 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Ben Buchanan-Rolleston 12'
  • redcard Ben Buchanan-Rolleston 23'
  • goal Dan Purkis 89'
  • goal Dan Purkis 89'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 14
Glenavon
Oct 26, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Mourneview Park
Carrick
  • Ben Buchanan-Rolleston 72' yellowcard
  • David McDaid 90'+1' goal
  • redcard Ross Glendinning 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Seanan Clucas 65'
  • goal David Cushley 89'
  • yellowcard Ben Buchanan-Rolleston 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Paul Heatley 90'+5'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 1
Carrick
Aug 10, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
Glenavon
  • Curtis Allen 16' goal
  • Nedas Macuilaitis 32' goal
  • Cameron Stewart 42' yellowcard
  • yellowcard James Carroll 76'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 5
Glenavon
Apr 27, 2024 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Mourneview Park
Carrick
  • Stephen Teggart 40' goal
  • Danny Wallace 53' yellowcard
  • Emmett McGuckin 87' yellowcard
  • Robert Garrett 90'+2' redcard
  • goal David Cushley 21'
  • goal Curtis Allen 30'
  • yellowcard Sean Ward 85'
  • redcard James Teelan 90'+3'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 25
Carrick
Jan 13, 2024 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
Glenavon
  • Emmett McGuckin 65' yellowcard
  • Kyle Cherry 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Joe Crowe 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Reece Glendinning 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Joe Crowe 90'+5' redcard
  • goal Matthew Snoddy 45'
  • yellowcard Danny Wallace 59'
  • goal Peter Campbell 70'
  • yellowcard Matthew Snoddy 81'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 14
Carrick
Oct 28, 2023 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
Glenavon
  • Kurtis Forsythe 18' yellowcard
  • Curtis Allen 38' goal
  • David Cushley 42' yellowcard
  • Joe Crowe 72' redcard
  • yellowcard Aaron Rogers 19'
  • goal Peter Campbell 25'
  • yellowcard Isaac Baird 29'
  • goal Peter Campbell 42'
  • yellowcard Danny Wallace 45'
  • goal Niall Quinn 67'
  • yellowcard Peter Campbell 90'

Form Data

Loughgall 2 - 2 Carrick
Ballymena 1 - 1 Carrick
Carrick 4 - 1 Portadown
Carrick 1 - 3 Cliftonville
Cliftonville 3 - 0 Carrick
Carrick 0 - 0 Glentoran
Glenavon 2 - 0 Ballymena
Cliftonville 2 - 0 Glenavon
Glenavon 0 - 1 Loughgall
Portadown 1 - 1 Glenavon
Glenavon 0 - 1 Larne
Linfield 2 - 0 Glenavon