NIFL Premiership Gameweek 4
Apr 19, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Mourneview Park
  • Peter Campbell 60' goal
  • Luke McGerrigan 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard James Hood 50'

Glenavon vs Ballymena United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Glenavon

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Apr 12, 2025 3.00pm
Cliftonville 2 - 0 Glenavon
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Peter Campbell

Ballymena United

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Apr 12, 2025 3.00pm
Ballymena 1 - 1 Carrick
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Ben Kennedy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 44.24%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.

Result

Glenavon 44.24% (-0.03)
Draw 27.63% (+0.05)
Ballymena United 28.12% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.58% (-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.3% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 58.7% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 20.76% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 79.24% (+0.13)
Over 4.5 8.78% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 91.22% (+0.08)

Glenavon Goals

Over 0.5 73.6% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 26.39% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 38.45% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 61.55% (+0.12)

Ballymena United Goals

Over 0.5 63.28% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 36.71% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 26.5% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 73.5% (+0.11)

Score analysis

Glenavon 44.24%
Draw 27.63%
Ballymena United 28.12%
Glenavon
1-0 @ 12.9% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 8.62% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.6% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.83% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.82% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.92% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.27% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 44.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.93% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.69% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 4.32% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.63%
Ballymena United
0-1 @ 9.71% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 6.48% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.86% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.16% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.63% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 28.12%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership Gameweek 24
Dec 30, 2024 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT The Showgrounds
  • Kym Nelson 67' yellowcard
  • Donal Rocks 71' yellowcard
  • Sean Brown 84' redcard
  • Kym Nelson 90' redcard
  • Kym Nelson 90' redcard
  • yellowcard Barney McKeown 27'
  • goal Peter Campbell 55'
  • yellowcard Aaron Jarvis 64'
  • goal David McDaid 68'
  • yellowcard Andrew Scott 83'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 12
Oct 12, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Mourneview Park
  • Harry Lynch 52' yellowcard
  • James Carroll 62' yellowcard
  • Len O'Sullivan 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Donal Rocks 11'
  • yellowcard Danny Lafferty 16'
  • goal Ben Kennedy 62'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 5
Aug 30, 2024 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT The Showgrounds
  • Ben Kennedy 14' goal
  • Ben Kennedy 21' goal
  • Donal Rocks 30' yellowcard
  • Len O'Sullivan 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Ben Kennedy 49' goal
  • Samuel Johnston 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Keith Ward 33'
  • yellowcard David McDaid 36'
  • yellowcard Danny Lafferty 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Matthew Snoddy 58'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 3
Apr 16, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Showgrounds
  • Calvin McCurry 8' goal
  • Scot Whiteside 53' redcard
  • Jonathan McMurray 88' yellowcard
  • Alex Gawne 88' yellowcard
  • redcard Jack Malone 86'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 24
Dec 30, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Mourneview Park
  • Matthew Snoddy 60' yellowcard
  • goal Fraser Taylor 36'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 16
Nov 11, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Showgrounds
  • Fraser Taylor 72' yellowcard
  • goal Conor McCloskey 37'