Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 44.24%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.