CONCACAF Nations League Gameweek 3
Oct 2, 2026 3.00am
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Nicaragua National Football Stadium
  • Juan Luis Pérez 70' yellowcard
  • Efraín Antonio Mejía Alfaro 73' yellowcard
  • Ramón Estrada 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Orlando Sinclair 57'
  • goal Carlos Mora 60'
  • yellowcard Carlos Mora 77'
  • yellowcard Josimar Mendez 90'+4'
  • goal Kenyel Michel 90'+7'

Nicaragua vs Costa Rica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Nicaragua

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 1.00am
Dominican Rep. 3 - 2 Nicaragua

Costa Rica

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 3.00am
Costa Rica 3 - 4 Curacao

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 40.14%. A win for Nicaragua had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Nicaragua win was 1-0 (8.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result

Nicaragua 34.08% ▲ (+0.15)
Draw 25.82% ▲ (+0.06)
Costa Rica 40.14% ▼ (-0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.18% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.49% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 25.51% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 50.04% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 49.96% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 28.01% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 3.5 71.99% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 4.5 15.79% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 4.5 84.21% ▲ (+0.13)

First Half Winner

Nicaragua 25.38% ▲ (+0.12)
Draw 39.93% ▼ (-0.11)
Costa Rica 34.69% ▼ (-0.03)

Team To Score First

Nicaragua 41.3% ▲ (+0.08)
No Goal 7.01% ▲ (+0.05)
Costa Rica 51.69% ▼ (-0.14)

Corners

Over 8 56.74% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 8 11.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 32.11% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 9 45.47% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.27% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 43.26% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 10.5 34.98%
Under 10.5 65.02% ▼ (-0.02)

Nicaragua Goals

Over 1.5 34.24% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 65.76% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 13.57% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 86.43% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 4.45% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.55% ▲ (+0.01)

Costa Rica Goals

Over 0.5 71.92% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 0.5 28.08% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 1.5 38.79% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 1.5 61.21% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 2.5 16.7% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 2.5 83.3% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 3.5 6.04% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 93.96% ▲ (+0.06)

Score analysis

Nicaragua 34.07%
Draw 25.82%
Costa Rica 40.14%
Nicaragua
1-0 @ 8.72% ▲ (+0.05)
2-1 @ 7.61% ▲ (+0.07)
2-0 @ 5.5% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.35% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.21% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 34.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.36% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.01% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.12%
3-3 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 25.82%
Costa Rica
0-1 @ 9.81%
1-2 @ 8.37%
0-2 @ 6.59% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.75% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 3.38%
2-3 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 5.8% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 40.14%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Oct 14, 2025 3.00am
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Sep 6, 2025 3.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Jun 17, 2019 1.00am
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Estadio Nacional de Costa Rica, San Jose
  • Bryan Oviedo 7' goal
  • Kendall Waston 16' yellowcard
  • Celso Borges 19' goal
  • Elias Aguilar 45' goal
  • Allan Cruz 75' goal
  • yellowcard Luis Copete 80'