CONCACAF Nations League Gameweek 2
Sep 28, 2026 1.00am

Curacao vs Nicaragua - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Curacao

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 3.00am
Costa Rica 3 - 4 Curacao

Nicaragua

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 1.00am
Dominican Rep. 3 - 2 Nicaragua

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Curacao win with a probability of 67.96%. A draw has a probability of 17.81% and a win for Nicaragua has a probability of 14.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curacao win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.62%) and 3-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.33%) , while for a Nicaragua win it is 0-1 (5%).

Result

Curacao 67.96% ▼ (-0.09)
Draw 17.81% ▲ (+0.05)
Nicaragua 14.21% ▲ (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

39.88% ▼ (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.18% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 21.82% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 56.89% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 2.5 43.11% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 3.5 35.28% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 64.72% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 26.09% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 4.5 73.91% ▲ (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Curacao 56.48% ▼ (-0.23)
Draw 30.46% ▲ (+0.09)
Nicaragua 13.06% ▲ (+0.13)

Team To Score First

Curacao 70.14% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 6.19% ▲ (+0.03)
Nicaragua 23.67% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 52.89% ▲ (+0.35)
Equal 8 11.18% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 8 35.93% ▼ (-0.33)
Over 9 41.92% ▲ (+0.33)
Equal 9 10.96%
Under 9 47.11% ▼ (-0.35)
Over 10.5 31.99% ▲ (+0.30)
Under 10.5 68.01% ▼ (-0.30)

Curacao Goals

Over 1.5 61.42% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 38.58% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 39.17% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 60.83% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 22.67% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 77.33% ▲ (+0.10)

Nicaragua Goals

Over 0.5 40.82% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 0.5 59.18% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 1.5 13.94%
Under 1.5 86.06%
Over 2.5 3.86% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 96.14% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 0.85% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.15% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Curacao 67.96%
Draw 17.82%
Nicaragua 14.21%
Curacao
2-0 @ 10.77% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 10.62% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 9.01% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 7.94% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.61% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 22.58% ▼ (-0.10)
Total : 67.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.33% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 6.19% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 2.76%
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 17.82%
Nicaragua
0-1 @ 5% ▲ (+0.05)
1-2 @ 3.7% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.76% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 14.21%