International Friendlies
Jun 10, 2025 10.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Marko Stamenic 59' goal
  • Joe Bell 65' yellowcard
  • Tyler Bindon 73' yellowcard
  • goal Oleksiy Hutsuliak 54'
  • goal Oleksandr Zinchenko 75'
  • yellowcard Viktor Tsygankov 83'
  • yellowcard Oleksandr Tymchyk 89'
  • yellowcard Roman Yaremchuk 90'+4'

New Zealand vs Ukraine - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

New Zealand

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 8, 2025 12.00am
New Zealand 1 - 0 Ivory Coast

Ukraine

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 7, 2025 8.30pm
Canada 4 - 2 Ukraine

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New Zealand win with a probability of 64.56%. A draw has a probability of 18.6% and a win for Ukraine has a probability of 16.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.59%) and 3-1 (7.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.22%), while for a Ukraine win it is 1-2 (4.61%).

Result

New Zealand 64.56% (-1.64)
Draw 18.62% (+0.65)
Ukraine 16.81% (+0.99)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.95% (-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5 67.24% (-1.24)
Under 2.5 32.75% (+1.25)
Over 3.5 45.56% (-1.45)
Under 3.5 54.44% (+1.45)
Over 4.5 26.78% (-1.27)
Under 4.5 73.22% (+1.27)

New Zealand Goals

Over 0.5 90.39% (-0.72)
Under 0.5 9.61% (+0.72)
Over 1.5 67.88% (-1.70)
Under 1.5 32.12% (+1.70)

Ukraine Goals

Over 0.5 67.43% (+0.33)
Under 0.5 32.57% (-0.34)
Over 1.5 30.89% (+0.37)
Under 1.5 69.11% (-0.37)

Score analysis

New Zealand 64.56%
Draw 18.62%
Ukraine 16.81%
New Zealand
2-1 @ 9.63% (+0.11)
2-0 @ 8.59% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 7.52% (-0.17)
1-0 @ 7.33% (+0.25)
3-0 @ 6.71% (-0.21)
4-1 @ 4.4% (-0.25)
3-2 @ 4.22% (-0.06)
4-0 @ 3.93% (-0.26)
4-2 @ 2.47% (-0.12)
5-1 @ 2.06% (-0.19)
5-0 @ 1.84% (-0.19)
5-2 @ 1.16% (-0.10)
Other @ 4.71%
Total : 64.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.22% (+0.36)
2-2 @ 5.4% (+0.11)
0-0 @ 3.13% (+0.21)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 18.62%
Ukraine
1-2 @ 4.61% (+0.24)
0-1 @ 3.51% (+0.26)
2-3 @ 2.02% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 1.97% (+0.17)
1-3 @ 1.73% (+0.11)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 16.81%