Friendlies 2

Oct 14, 2024 at 7am UK

Westpac Stadium

New Zealand
4 - 0
Malaysia

Just (53'), Garbett (61'), Wood (72'), Rogerson (90')
Roux (50')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 2 clash between New Zealand and Malaysia.

Form, Standings, Stats

New Zealand

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: New Zealand 3-0 Tahiti
Friday, October 11 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - Oceania

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	3	5	7
2	Mexico	3	2	7
3	Russia	3	0	3
4	New Zealand	3	-7	0

Malaysia

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Malaysia 1-0 Lebanon
Sunday, September 8 at 2pm in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bahrain	3	0	6
2	South Korea	3	2	5
3	Jordan	3	3	4
4	Malaysia	3	-5	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New Zealand win with a probability of 61.74%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Malaysia had a probability of 15.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a New Zealand win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.66%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Malaysia win it was 0-1 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New Zealand would win this match.

Result
New Zealand	Draw	Malaysia
61.74% ( -0.12)	22.9% ( 0.04)	15.36% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 43.5% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.82% (

-0.02)

54.17% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.41% (

-0.02)

75.58% (

0.02)

New Zealand Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.85% (

-0.05)

17.14% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.62% (

-0.09)

47.38% (

0.09)

Malaysia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.5% (

0.1)

47.49% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.14% (

0.07)

82.86% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

New Zealand 61.73%

Malaysia 15.36%

Draw 22.9%

New Zealand	Draw	Malaysia
1-0 @ 14.35% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 12.66% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.54% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.45% Total : 61.73%	1-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.56% Total : 22.9%	0-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.07% Total : 15.36%