AFC Champions League Gameweek 1
Sep 14, 2026 2.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Stipe Perica 59' yellowcard
  • Nurmukhammad Abduganiev 79' yellowcard
  • Bilolkhon Toshmirzaev 81' yellowcard
  • Zoran Marušić 83' goal
  • Zoran Marušić 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Saed Al-Rousan 59'
  • yellowcard Muslim Mousa 63'

Neftchi vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Neftchi

All competitions

Al Quwa Al Jawiya

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neftchi win with a probability of 50.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.03% and a win for Al Quwa Al Jawiya had a probability of 24.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Neftchi win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%) , while for a Al Quwa Al Jawiya win it was 0-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result

Neftchi 50.11% ▲ (+0.58)
Draw 25.03% ▼ (-0.12)
Al Quwa Al Jawiya 24.85% ▼ (-0.47)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.63% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 73% ▼ (-0.41)
Under 1.5 27% ▲ (+0.40)
Over 2.5 47.52% ▼ (-0.40)
Under 2.5 52.48% ▲ (+0.40)
Over 3.5 26% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 3.5 74% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 4.5 14.82% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 85.18% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Neftchi 41.24% ▲ (+3.39)
Draw 40.38% ▼ (-2.90)
Al Quwa Al Jawiya 18.38% ▼ (-0.50)

Team To Score First

Neftchi 60.09% ▲ (+1.46)
No Goal 7.74% ▲ (+0.03)
Al Quwa Al Jawiya 32.17% ▼ (-1.47)

Corners

Over 8 49.85% ▼ (-5.70)
Equal 8 11.87% ▲ (+0.47)
Under 8 38.29% ▲ (+5.25)
Over 9 38.5% ▼ (-5.68)
Equal 9 11.34% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 9 50.15% ▲ (+5.70)
Over 10.5 28.52% ▼ (-5.20)
Under 10.5 71.48% ▲ (+5.21)

Neftchi Goals

Over 1.5 45.35% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 54.65% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 20.65% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 2.5 79.35% ▼ (-0.34)
Over 3.5 7.63% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 3.5 92.37% ▲ (+0.21)

Al Quwa Al Jawiya Goals

Over 0.5 58.47% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 41.53% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 25.25% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 1.5 74.75% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 2.5 8.36% ▼ (-0.57)
Under 2.5 91.64% ▲ (+0.57)
Over 3.5 2.35% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 3.5 97.65% ▲ (+0.11)

Score analysis

Neftchi 50.13%
Draw 25.04%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya 24.86%
Neftchi
1-0 @ 11.74% ▲ (+0.33)
2-0 @ 9.59% ▼ (-0.05)
2-1 @ 9.13% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 4.98% ▼ (-0.10)
3-1 @ 4.64% ▲ (+0.26)
3-2 @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.36)
Other @ 7.51% ▼ (-0.17)
Total : 50.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.9% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 7.74% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.42% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 0.12% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 25.04%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0-1 @ 7.55% ▲ (+0.11)
1-2 @ 5.97% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.14% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.09)
0-3 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.35)
Other @ 2.23% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 24.86%