Nations League Gameweek 5
Nov 14, 2026 7.45pm
Strawberry Arena

Sweden vs Bosnia-Herzegovina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sweden

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 7.45pm
Sweden 2 - 1 Romania

Bosnia-Herzegovina

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 7.45pm
Poland 0 - 0 Bosnia H'vina

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sweden win with a probability of 58.18%. A draw has a probability of 23.17% and a win for Bosnia-Herzegovina has a probability of 18.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.42%) , while for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win it is 0-1 (5.17%).

Result

Sweden 58.18%
Draw 23.17%
Bosnia-Herzegovina 18.64%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.88%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.97% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 22.03% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 55.3% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 44.67%
Over 3.5 33.81%
Under 3.5 66.19%
Over 4.5 21.43% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 78.57% ▲ (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Sweden 44.2%
Draw 38.75%
Bosnia-Herzegovina 17.05%

Team To Score First

Sweden 65.08% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 6.24% ▲ (+0.01)
Bosnia-Herzegovina 28.68%

Corners

Over 8 52.16%
Equal 8 11.67%
Under 8 36.17%
Over 9 40.77%
Equal 9 11.39%
Under 9 47.84%
Over 10.5 30.55%
Under 10.5 69.45%

Sweden Goals

Over 1.5 55.74% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 44.26% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 29.94%
Under 2.5 70.06%
Over 3.5 13.6% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 86.4% ▲ (+0.02)

Bosnia-Herzegovina Goals

Over 0.5 53.81%
Under 0.5 46.19%
Over 1.5 23.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 76.94% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 7.38%
Under 2.5 92.62%
Over 3.5 2.2%
Under 3.5 97.8%

Score analysis

Sweden 58.19%
Draw 23.18%
Bosnia-Herzegovina 18.64%
Sweden
1-0 @ 10.63% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 9.69% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.37% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 6.31%
3-1 @ 5.79% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.07%
Other @ 13.33% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 58.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.42% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.24% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.08% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.18%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
0-1 @ 5.17% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.97% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.56%
2-3 @ 1.66%
1-3 @ 1.51% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 18.64%

Head to Head

Nations League Gameweek 3
Oct 2, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Bilino Polje
  • Kerim Alajbegovic 80' goal
  • goal Viktor Gyökeres 61'