Nations League Gameweek 4
Oct 4, 2026 7.45pm
TSC Arena

Republic of Ireland vs Israel - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Republic of Ireland

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 7.45pm
Kosovo 1 - 0 Rep. Ireland

Israel

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 7.45pm
Austria 3 - 1 Israel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 47.7%. A win for Israel has a probability of 28.05% and a draw has a probability of 24.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Israel win is 1-2 (6.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.34%).

Result

Republic of Ireland 47.7% ▲ (+4.56)
Draw 24.15% ▼ (-0.25)
Israel 28.05% ▼ (-4.35)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.8% ▼ (-0.81)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.02% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 1.5 21.98% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 2.5 54.75% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 2.5 45.25% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 3.5 32.45% ▼ (-0.30)
Under 3.5 67.55% ▲ (+0.30)
Over 4.5 18.71% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 4.5 81.29% ▲ (+0.11)

Republic of Ireland Goals

Over 1.5 47.82% ▲ (+3.40)
Under 1.5 52.18% ▼ (-3.40)
Over 2.5 22.64% ▲ (+2.41)
Under 2.5 77.36% ▼ (-2.41)
Over 3.5 8.7% ▲ (+1.18)
Under 3.5 91.3% ▼ (-1.19)

Israel Goals

Over 0.5 64.31% ▼ (-3.60)
Under 0.5 35.69% ▲ (+3.60)
Over 1.5 31.49% ▼ (-3.95)
Under 1.5 68.51% ▲ (+3.95)
Over 2.5 11.55% ▼ (-2.42)
Under 2.5 88.45% ▲ (+2.43)
Over 3.5 3.45% ▼ (-1.04)
Under 3.5 96.55% ▲ (+1.04)

Score analysis

Republic of Ireland 47.69%
Draw 24.15%
Israel 28.04%
Republic of Ireland
2-1 @ 9.4% ▲ (+0.48)
1-0 @ 9.35% ▲ (+0.68)
2-0 @ 7.76% ▲ (+0.96)
3-1 @ 5.21% ▲ (+0.51)
3-0 @ 4.3% ▲ (+0.68)
3-2 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 8.52% ▲ (+1.18)
Total : 47.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.34% ▼ (-0.10)
2-2 @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.17)
0-0 @ 5.64% ▲ (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.15%
Israel
1-2 @ 6.9% ▼ (-0.68)
0-1 @ 6.87% ▼ (-0.54)
0-2 @ 4.18% ▼ (-0.77)
1-3 @ 2.81% ▼ (-0.55)
2-3 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.27)
0-3 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.51)
Other @ 3.27% ▼ (-1.04)
Total : 28.04%

Head to Head

Nations League Gameweek 2
Sep 27, 2026 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 3
FT Nagyerdei Stadion
  • Raz Shlomo 59' yellowcard
  • goal Troy Parrott 13'
  • goal Adam Idah 16'
  • goal Jack Moylan 25'
  • yellowcard Adam Idah 59'
  • yellowcard Conor Coventry 89'