Nations League Gameweek 5
Nov 12, 2026 7.45pm

Montenegro vs Latvia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Montenegro

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 7.45pm
Montenegro 2 - 1 Cyprus

Latvia

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 5.00pm
Armenia 2 - 0 Latvia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Montenegro win with a probability of 63.24%. A draw has a probability of 20.97% and a win for Latvia has a probability of 15.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montenegro win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.1%) , while for a Latvia win it is 0-1 (4.99%).

Result

Montenegro 63.24% ▼ (-0.17)
Draw 20.97%
Latvia 15.79% ▲ (+0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.65% ▲ (+0.27)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.51% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 1.5 22.49% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 2.5 53.66% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 2.5 46.34% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 3.5 31.66% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 3.5 68.34% ▼ (-0.23)
Over 4.5 20.35% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 4.5 79.65% ▼ (-0.16)

First Half Winner

Montenegro 53.57%
Draw 35.92%
Latvia 10.51%

Team To Score First

Montenegro 72.68% ▲ (+0.05)
No Goal 6.14% ▼ (-0.06)
Latvia 21.18% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 55.8%
Equal 8 11.47%
Under 8 32.73%
Over 9 44.29%
Equal 9 11.51%
Under 9 44.2%
Over 10.5 33.68%
Under 10.5 66.32%

Montenegro Goals

Over 1.5 57.74% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 42.26% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 31.72% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 68.28% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 14.64% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 85.36% ▼ (-0.04)

Latvia Goals

Over 0.5 48.93% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 0.5 51.07% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 1.5 18.2% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 1.5 81.8% ▼ (-0.30)
Over 2.5 5.07% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 2.5 94.93% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 3.5 1.26% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 98.74% ▼ (-0.07)

Score analysis

Montenegro 63.23%
Draw 20.97%
Latvia 15.8%
Montenegro
2-0 @ 11.48% ▼ (-0.08)
1-0 @ 11.36% ▼ (-0.14)
2-1 @ 9.46%
3-0 @ 7.52% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 6.18%
3-2 @ 2.66% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 14.57% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 63.23%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.1% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 6.14% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 3.94% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.07% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 20.97%
Latvia
0-1 @ 4.99% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 4.25% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 15.8%

Head to Head

Nations League Gameweek 3
Oct 2, 2026 5.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadions Skonto
  • Antonijs Cernomordijs  39' yellowcard
  • Markuss Strods 82' goal
  • goal Vasilije Adžić 3'
  • goal Vasilije Adžić 56'
  • yellowcard Aleksa Latkovic 90'+4'
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Sep 7, 2021 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Uros Durdevic 42' yellowcard
  • Nebojsa Kosovic 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vladislavs Gutkovskis 4'
  • yellowcard Roberts Uldrikis 32'
World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Mar 24, 2021 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadions Skonto
  • Vladimirs Kamess 10' yellowcard
  • Janis Ikaunieks 40' goal
  • Antonijs Cernomordijs 53' yellowcard
  • Kriss Karklins 79' yellowcard
  • Kristers Tobers 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Stevan Jovetic 41'
  • yellowcard Igor Vujacic 45'
  • goal Stevan Jovetic 83'
International Friendlies
Oct 7, 2020 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Pod Goricom
  • Igor Ivanovic 90'+1' goal
  • goal Igors Tarasovs 26'
  • yellowcard Kristers Tobers 45'
  • yellowcard Eduards Emsis 50'
  • yellowcard Eduards TÄ«denbergs 55'
  • yellowcard Arturs Zjuzins 83'
International Friendlies
Mar 26, 2020 7.45pm