Nations League Gameweek 4
Oct 5, 2026 5.00pm
Neo GSP (Nicosía (Levkosía))

Cyprus vs Latvia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cyprus

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 7.45pm
Montenegro 2 - 1 Cyprus

Latvia

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 5.00pm
Armenia 2 - 0 Latvia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cyprus win with a probability of 57.32%. A draw has a probability of 23.08% and a win for Latvia has a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cyprus win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.55%) , while for a Latvia win it is 0-1 (6.05%).

Result

Cyprus 57.32% ▲ (+7.10)
Draw 23.08% ▼ (-1.98)
Latvia 19.6% ▼ (-5.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.92% ▼ (-0.51)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.57% ▲ (+0.39)
Under 1.5 24.43% ▼ (-0.40)
Over 2.5 52.21% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 47.76% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 30.89% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 3.5 69.11% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 4.5 18.77% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 4.5 81.23% ▼ (-0.25)

First Half Winner

Cyprus 45.23% ▲ (+2.16)
Draw 39.37% ▼ (-0.03)
Latvia 15.4% ▼ (-2.14)

Team To Score First

Cyprus 62.53% ▲ (+3.40)
No Goal 7.05% ▼ (-0.41)
Latvia 30.42% ▼ (-3.00)

Corners

Over 8 53.54% ▲ (+7.00)
Equal 8 11.99% ▲ (+0.32)
Under 8 34.47% ▼ (-7.32)
Over 9 41.73% ▲ (+6.09)
Equal 9 11.81% ▲ (+0.91)
Under 9 46.46% ▼ (-7.00)
Over 10.5 31.07% ▲ (+4.84)
Under 10.5 68.94% ▼ (-4.83)

Cyprus Goals

Over 1.5 52.88% ▲ (+4.47)
Under 1.5 47.12% ▼ (-4.47)
Over 2.5 27.67% ▲ (+3.36)
Under 2.5 72.33% ▼ (-3.36)
Over 3.5 11.84% ▲ (+2.07)
Under 3.5 88.16% ▼ (-2.07)

Latvia Goals

Over 0.5 53.89% ▼ (-5.43)
Under 0.5 46.11% ▲ (+5.43)
Over 1.5 21.92% ▼ (-4.96)
Under 1.5 78.08% ▲ (+4.96)
Over 2.5 6.65% ▼ (-3.18)
Under 2.5 93.35% ▲ (+3.18)
Over 3.5 1.82% ▼ (-1.37)
Under 3.5 98.18% ▲ (+1.38)

Score analysis

Cyprus 57.32%
Draw 23.07%
Latvia 19.6%
Cyprus
1-0 @ 11.32% ▲ (+1.11)
2-0 @ 9.87% ▲ (+1.45)
2-1 @ 9.38% ▲ (+0.55)
3-0 @ 6.08% ▲ (+0.91)
3-1 @ 5.99% ▲ (+0.66)
3-2 @ 2.9% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 11.78% ▲ (+2.35)
Total : 57.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.55% ▼ (-0.54)
0-0 @ 7.05% ▼ (-0.41)
2-2 @ 4.55% ▼ (-0.42)
Other @ 0.06% ▼ (-0.29)
Total : 23.07%
Latvia
0-1 @ 6.05% ▼ (-1.13)
1-2 @ 4.88% ▼ (-0.93)
0-2 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.54)
1-3 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.63)
2-3 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.47)
Other @ 1.76% ▼ (-1.08)
Total : 19.6%

Head to Head

Nations League Gameweek 2
Sep 28, 2026 5.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Sporta komplekss Ķeizarmežs
  • Vladislavs Gutkovskis 14' yellowcard
  • Antonijs Cernomordijs  88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Giannis Kosti 62'
  • yellowcard Nick Tsaroulla 66'
  • yellowcard Konstantinos Sotiriou 69'
  • yellowcard Ioannis Pittas 88'
International Friendlies
Mar 21, 2024 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Makareio Stadio
  • Ioannis Pittas 34' goal
  • Joel Mall 44' yellowcard
  • goal Andrejs Cigaņiks 85'