Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cyprus win with a probability of 73.62%. A draw had a probability of 14.35% and a win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 12.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cyprus win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.1%) and 0-1 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.44%) , while for a Liechtenstein win it was 1-0 (3.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.