Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 62.27%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 15.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.02%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Oldham Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.