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National League
May 20, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Dwight Yorke Stadium
Oldham Athletic

York City
0 - 3
Oldham

FT(HT: 0-1)
Garner (23'), Yoganathan (49'), Pritchard (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between York City and Oldham Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Eastleigh 0-2 York City
Monday, May 5 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Oldham 4-0 Halifax
Wednesday, May 14 at 7.45pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 62.27%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 15.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.02%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Oldham Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
York CityDrawOldham Athletic
62.27% (0.481 0.48)22.02% (-0.297 -0.3)15.71% (-0.181 -0.18)
Both teams to score 46.72% (0.47499999999999 0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.77% (0.859 0.86)50.23% (-0.859 -0.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.81% (0.759 0.76)72.19% (-0.75699999999999 -0.76)
York City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.4% (0.453 0.45)15.6% (-0.451 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.42% (0.834 0.83)44.57% (-0.834 -0.83)
Oldham Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.36% (0.269 0.27)44.64% (-0.267 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.35% (0.217 0.22)80.65% (-0.21599999999999 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    York City 62.26%
    Oldham Athletic 15.71%
    Draw 22.02%
York CityDrawOldham Athletic
1-0 @ 12.93% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-0 @ 12.02% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.69% (0.038 0.04)
3-0 @ 7.45% (0.088 0.09)
3-1 @ 6% (0.115 0.11)
4-0 @ 3.46% (0.094 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.79% (0.095 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.42% (0.064 0.06)
5-0 @ 1.29% (0.054 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.13% (0.047 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.04% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 62.26%
1-1 @ 10.43% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 6.96% (-0.245 -0.25)
2-2 @ 3.91% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 22.02%
0-1 @ 5.62% (-0.154 -0.15)
1-2 @ 4.21% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.26% (-0.045 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.13% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.05% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 15.71%

How you voted: York City vs Oldham

York City
74.6%
Draw
3.0%
Oldham Athletic
22.4%
67
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 44
York City
1-1
Oldham
Felix (32')
Raglan (71')
Sutton (60'), Yoganathan (74'), Pritchard (78')
Jan 21, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Oldham
0-2
York City

Ogle (22'), Monthe (66')
Fagan-Walcott (24'), Pearce (38')
Howe (42'), Nathaniel-George (46'), Male (90+1')
Feb 20, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 35
York City
1-1
Oldham
Davies (70')
Amos (90+1')
Fondop (61')
Conlon (45')
Sep 19, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Oldham
2-0
York City
Nuttall (7'), Reid (79')
Nuttall (61'), Kitching (63'), Green (70')

Fallowfield (61'), Crookes (70')
Jan 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Oldham
2-0
York City