Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 62.27%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 15.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.02%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Oldham Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
| 62.27% ( | 22.02% ( | 15.71% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.72% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.77% ( | 50.23% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.81% ( | 72.19% ( |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.4% ( | 15.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.42% ( | 44.57% ( |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.36% ( | 44.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.35% ( | 80.65% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| York City | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 12.93% ( 2-0 @ 12.02% ( 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 3-0 @ 7.45% ( 3-1 @ 6% ( 4-0 @ 3.46% ( 4-1 @ 2.79% ( 3-2 @ 2.42% ( 5-0 @ 1.29% ( 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 5-1 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.05% Total : 62.26% | 1-1 @ 10.43% ( 0-0 @ 6.96% ( 2-2 @ 3.91% ( Other @ 0.72% Total : 22.02% | 0-1 @ 5.62% ( 1-2 @ 4.21% ( 0-2 @ 2.26% ( 1-3 @ 1.13% ( 2-3 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 1.44% Total : 15.71% |