Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 46.91%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Halifax Town had a probability of 26.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Halifax Town win it was 0-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.