National League | Gameweek 46

May 5, 2025 at 3pm UK

Silverlake Stadium

Eastleigh
0 - 2
York City

Taylor (34'), Panter (86')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Pearce (16'), John (21')
John (4'), Sinclair (17'), Akinyemi (84'), Nathaniel-George (90')

Coverage of the National League clash between Eastleigh and York City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eastleigh

All competitions

Last Game: Woking 2-2 Eastleigh
Saturday, April 26 at 12.30pm in National League

Goals
for

York City

All competitions

Last Game: York City 2-0 Solihull
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 51.77%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 23.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 1-0 (6.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.

Result
Eastleigh	Draw	York City
23.98% ( 0.58)	24.25% ( -0.15)	51.77% ( -0.43)

Both teams to score 53.11% (

1.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.49% (

1.15)

48.51% (

-1.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.36% (

1.04)

70.64% (

-1.03)

Eastleigh Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.34% (

1.15)

34.66% (

-1.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.61% (

1.2)

71.39% (

-1.19)

York City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.28% (

0.27)

18.72% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.91% (

0.45)

50.09% (

-0.45)

Score Analysis

Eastleigh 23.98%

York City 51.77%

Draw 24.25%

Eastleigh	Draw	York City
1-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.11% Total : 23.98%	1-1 @ 11.52% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.31) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.25%	0-1 @ 10.87% ( -0.42) 1-2 @ 9.65% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 9.11% ( -0.27) 1-3 @ 5.39% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 5.09% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 2.26% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 2.13% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.22% Total : 51.77%