National League | Gameweek 44

Apr 21, 2025 at 3pm UK

Silverlake Stadium

Eastleigh
1 - 0
Yeovil

Maguire (30')
Panter (33'), Wariuh (77'), Brindley (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kite (20'), Cousin-Dawson (82')
Khan (36')

Coverage of the National League clash between Eastleigh and Yeovil Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eastleigh

All competitions

Last Game: Barnet 1-1 Eastleigh
Friday, April 18 at 5.30pm in National League

Goals
for

Yeovil Town

All competitions

Last Game: Yeovil 1-1 Forest Green
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Yeovil Town win was 0-1 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Eastleigh in this match.

Result
Eastleigh	Draw	Yeovil Town
38.6% ( 0.67)	26.91% ( -0.07)	34.48% ( -0.6)

Both teams to score 51.04% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.85% (

0.23)

54.14% (

-0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.44% (

0.19)

75.56% (

-0.19)

Eastleigh Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.69% (

0.49)

27.31% (

-0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.24% (

0.63)

62.75% (

-0.63)

Yeovil Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.21% (

-0.27)

29.78% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.14% (

-0.32)

65.85% (

0.32)

Score Analysis

Eastleigh 38.6%

Yeovil Town 34.48%

Draw 26.91%

Eastleigh	Draw	Yeovil Town
1-0 @ 10.55% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.04% Total : 38.6%	1-1 @ 12.78% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.91%	0-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 7.74% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.41% Total : 34.48%