National League South
Aug 31, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Woodspring Stadium
  • Louie Derrick 61' goal
  • goal George Alexander 64'

Weston-super-Mare vs Chelmsford City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Weston-super-Mare

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Hemel Hemps. 1 - 3 Weston
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Louis Britton

Chelmsford City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Chelmsford City 1 - 0 Maidenhead
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
George Alexander

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weston-super-Mare win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Weston-super-Mare win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 0-1 (9.24%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result

Weston-super-Mare 38.19% ▲ (+0.18)
Draw 26.03% ▼ (-0.03)
Chelmsford City 35.79% ▼ (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.37% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.52% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 26.48% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 49.14% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 50.87% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 26.56% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 73.44% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 4.5 14.37%
Under 4.5 85.63%

First Half Winner

Weston-super-Mare 27.83%
Draw 42.66% ▼ (-0.05)
Chelmsford City 29.51% ▲ (+0.05)

Team To Score First

Weston-super-Mare 47.7% ▲ (+0.04)
No Goal 7.63% ▼ (-0.03)
Chelmsford City 44.67% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 54.51% ▲ (+0.22)
Equal 8 11.95% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 33.54% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 9 42.65% ▲ (+0.19)
Equal 9 11.87% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 9 45.49% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 10.5 31.85% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 10.5 68.15% ▼ (-0.15)

Weston-super-Mare Goals

Over 1.5 36.9% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 1.5 63.1% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 2.5 14.4% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 85.6% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 3.5 4.39% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 95.61% ▼ (-0.04)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5 68.82% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 0.5 31.18% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 1.5 35.26% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 64.74% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 13.33% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 86.67% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 4.49% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 95.51% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Weston-super-Mare 38.19%
Draw 26.03%
Chelmsford City 35.79%
Weston-super-Mare
1-0 @ 9.62% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.57% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 6.43% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.13% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.53% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.38% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 38.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.22% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.63% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.35%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.03%
Chelmsford City
0-1 @ 9.24% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 8.33% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.72% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.32% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.48% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 35.79%

Head to Head

National League South Gameweek 27
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Melbourne Cricket Ground
  • Lyle Taylor 84' yellowcard
FA Cup
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • 68' yellowcard
  • Joe Grimwood 68' yellowcard
  • Dominic Odusanya 77' yellowcard
  • 77' yellowcard
  • Taylor Clark 86' redcard
  • 86' redcard
  • yellowcard Charlie Cummins 42'
  • goal Louis Britton 62'
  • yellowcard Will Dawes 65'
  • yellowcard 65'
  • yellowcard 80'
  • yellowcard Michael Smith 80'
  • goal Louis Britton 88'
  • yellowcard Scott Wilson 90'+3'
National League South
Aug 16, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
National League South Gameweek 39
Mar 15, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Melbourne Cricket Ground
  • goal Dylan Kadji 30'
National League South Gameweek 4
Aug 24, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Woodspring Stadium
  • Nick McCootie 63' goal
  • Jason Pope 75' yellowcard
  • Reuben Reid 79' goal
  • James Dodd 90'+3' yellowcard
National League South Gameweek 28
Jan 29, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Melbourne Cricket Ground
  • Ody Alfa 36' goal
  • goal Jacob Cane 90'+2'