National League South
May 2, 2026 4.00pm
Hornchurch Stadium

AFC Hornchurch vs Weston-super-Mare - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Hornchurch

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 12.30pm
Hornchurch 0 - 0 Maidenhead
Goals scored
79
Top scorer
Angelo Balanta

Weston-super-Mare

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Apr 28, 2026 7.45pm
Hemel Hemps. 1 - 1 Weston
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Louis Britton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Weston-super-Mare has a probability of 32.23% and a draw has a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a AFC Hornchurch win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Weston-super-Mare win is 0-1 (9.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.94%).

Result

AFC Hornchurch 40.37% (-1.34)
Draw 27.4% (+0.10)
Weston-super-Mare 32.23% (+1.23)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.2% (+1.41)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.04% (+0.53)
Under 1.5 29.96% (-0.52)
Over 2.5 44.65% (+1.15)
Under 2.5 55.35% (-1.15)
Over 3.5 23.69% (+1.20)
Under 3.5 76.31% (-1.19)
Over 4.5 12.26% (+0.78)
Under 4.5 87.74% (-0.79)

First Half Winner

AFC Hornchurch 33.14% (+33.14)
Draw 42.72% (+42.72)
Weston-super-Mare 24.14% (+24.14)

Team To Score First

AFC Hornchurch 48.5% (+48.50)
No Goal 8.71% (+8.72)
Weston-super-Mare 42.79% (+42.79)

Corners

Over 8 56.29% (+56.29)
Equal 8 11.64% (+11.64)
Under 8 32.07% (+32.07)
Over 9 44.57% (+44.57)
Equal 9 11.72% (+11.72)
Under 9 43.71% (+43.71)
Over 10.5 33.74% (+33.74)
Under 10.5 66.26% (+66.27)

AFC Hornchurch Goals

Over 1.5 36.79% (-0.33)
Under 1.5 63.21% (+0.33)
Over 2.5 14.1% (-0.34)
Under 2.5 85.9% (+0.35)
Over 3.5 4.46% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 95.54% (+0.04)

Weston-super-Mare Goals

Over 0.5 65.33% (+1.62)
Under 0.5 34.67% (-1.62)
Over 1.5 30.24% (+1.46)
Under 1.5 69.76% (-1.46)
Over 2.5 10.45% (+0.87)
Under 2.5 89.55% (-0.88)
Over 3.5 2.86% (+0.32)
Under 3.5 97.14% (-0.32)

Score analysis

AFC Hornchurch 40.37%
Draw 27.41%
Weston-super-Mare 32.24%
AFC Hornchurch
1-0 @ 11.36% (-0.43)
2-1 @ 8.62% (+0.10)
2-0 @ 7.08% (-0.68)
3-1 @ 3.62% (-0.13)
3-0 @ 3.09% (-0.33)
3-2 @ 2.15% (+0.11)
Other @ 4.45% (+0.04)
Total : 40.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.94% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 8.71% (-0.19)
2-2 @ 4.97% (+0.30)
Other @ 0.01% (-0.07)
Total : 27.41%
Weston-super-Mare
0-1 @ 9.91% (+0.14)
1-2 @ 7.32% (+0.23)
0-2 @ 5.35% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.85% (+0.25)
2-3 @ 2.02% (+0.31)
0-3 @ 1.94% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.85% (+0.38)
Total : 32.24%

Head to Head

National League South
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Woodspring Stadium
  • Will Dawes 63' yellowcard
  • Daniel Martin 63' yellowcard
  • Scott Wilson 63' yellowcard
  • Will Dawes 88' goal
  • Sam Avery 89' yellowcard
  • goal Angelo Balanta 32'
  • yellowcard Henry Hearn 56'
  • goal Henry Hearn 59'
  • yellowcard Charlie Pegrum 70'
  • yellowcard Junior Morias 76'
  • yellowcard Nathan Bertram-Cooper 88'
National League South
Aug 9, 2025 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
National League South Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2025 3.00pm
2
4
HT : 0 2
FT Hornchurch Stadium
  • Darren McQueen 53' goal
  • Angelo Balanta 88' goal
  • goal Luke Coulson 15'
  • goal Reuben Reid 33'
  • goal Luke Coulson 60'
  • goal Luke Coulson 90'+6'
National League South Gameweek 6
Aug 31, 2024 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 3 1
FT Woodspring Stadium
  • Dylan Morgan 5' goal
  • Jazzi Barnum-Bobb 14' goal
  • Brandon Edward Bak 37' goal
  • Dylan Kadji 82' yellowcard
  • Nick McCootie 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tom Wraight 21'
  • goal Liam Nash 35'
  • goal Sean Scannell 71'
  • yellowcard Charlee Adams 81'
  • yellowcard Liam Nash 88'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Harvest 90'+8'