Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Hornchurch win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Weston-super-Mare had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a AFC Hornchurch win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Weston-super-Mare win was 0-1 (9.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.