National League South
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT Hardenhuish Park
  • Ezio Touray 86' goal
  • goal Angelo Balanta 47'
  • goal Henry Hearn 54'
  • goal Angelo Balanta 58'

Chippenham Town vs AFC Hornchurch - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chippenham Town

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
Hampton 1 - 1 Chippenham
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Harry Parsons

AFC Hornchurch

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Apr 14, 2026 7.45pm
Hornchurch 3 - 3 Chelmsford City
Goals scored
79
Top scorer
Angelo Balanta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chippenham Town win with a probability of 38.62%. A win for AFC Hornchurch had a probability of 37.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chippenham Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (5.75%). The likeliest AFC Hornchurch win was 1-2 (8.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result

Chippenham Town 38.62% (+1.47)
Draw 24.36% (-0.75)
AFC Hornchurch 37.02% (-0.71)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.46% (-0.43)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.61% (-0.58)
Under 1.5 21.39% (+0.58)
Over 2.5 56.38% (-0.59)
Under 2.5 43.62% (+0.59)
Over 3.5 33.51% (-0.59)
Under 3.5 66.49% (+0.58)
Over 4.5 19.44% (-0.28)
Under 4.5 80.56% (+0.29)

First Half Winner

Chippenham Town 30.27% (+2.54)
Draw 39.2% (-1.46)
AFC Hornchurch 30.52% (-1.09)

Team To Score First

Chippenham Town 49.36% (+5.40)
No Goal 5.53% (-0.02)
AFC Hornchurch 45.11% (-5.39)

Corners

Over 8 52.29% (-2.64)
Equal 8 11.62% (+0.02)
Under 8 36.09% (+2.61)
Over 9 40.95% (-2.41)
Equal 9 11.33% (-0.24)
Under 9 47.71% (+2.64)
Over 10.5 30.78% (-2.00)
Under 10.5 69.22% (+2.00)

Chippenham Town Goals

Over 1.5 40.86% (+0.32)
Under 1.5 59.14% (-0.32)
Over 2.5 18.1% (+0.63)
Under 2.5 81.9% (-0.62)
Over 3.5 6.48% (+0.49)
Under 3.5 93.52% (-0.49)

AFC Hornchurch Goals

Over 0.5 71.26% (-1.72)
Under 0.5 28.74% (+1.72)
Over 1.5 39.93% (-1.18)
Under 1.5 60.07% (+1.18)
Over 2.5 17.01% (-0.67)
Under 2.5 82.99% (+0.66)
Over 3.5 6.07% (-0.53)
Under 3.5 93.93% (+0.54)

Score analysis

Chippenham Town 38.63%
Draw 24.37%
AFC Hornchurch 37.01%
Chippenham Town
2-1 @ 8.38% (-0.22)
1-0 @ 8.15% (+0.63)
2-0 @ 5.75% (+0.42)
3-1 @ 4.05% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 3.12% (+0.27)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.03)
Other @ 6.2% (+0.46)
Total : 38.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.18% (-0.29)
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.39)
0-0 @ 5.53% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.28% (+0.03)
Total : 24.37%
AFC Hornchurch
1-2 @ 8.74% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 7.72% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.29% (-0.13)
1-3 @ 4.12% (+0.13)
2-3 @ 2.72% (-0.12)
0-3 @ 2.63% (-0.09)
Other @ 5.79% (-0.55)
Total : 37.01%

Head to Head

National League South
Aug 30, 2025 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
National League South Gameweek 46
Apr 26, 2025 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT Hardenhuish Park
  • goal Charlee Adams 23'
  • goal Darren McQueen 37'
  • goal Angelo Balanta 49'
  • goal Charlie Pegrum 61'
National League South Gameweek 22
Dec 21, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Hornchurch Stadium
  • Tom Wraight 21' yellowcard
  • Ryan Scott 36' goal
  • Henry Hearn 39' yellowcard
  • Nathan Bertram-Cooper 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Luke Spokes 48'
  • yellowcard Will Dawes 87'
  • goal Aaron Amadi-Holloway 90'+3'