Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chippenham Town win with a probability of 38.62%. A win for AFC Hornchurch had a probability of 37.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chippenham Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (5.75%). The likeliest AFC Hornchurch win was 1-2 (8.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.