National League South Gameweek 5
Aug 29, 2026 3.00pm
Melbourne Cricket Ground

Chelmsford City vs Maidenhead United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelmsford City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Folkestone Invicta 1 - 1 Chelmsford City
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Rhys Browne

Maidenhead United

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
Maidenhead 1 - 1 Farnborough
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Daniel Nkrumah

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 50.18%. A draw has a probability of 25.18% and a win for Maidenhead United has a probability of 24.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.14%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.02%) , while for a Maidenhead United win it is 0-1 (7.83%).

Result

Chelmsford City 50.18% (-0.03)
Draw 25.18% (+0.01)
Maidenhead United 24.69% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.01% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.98% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 27.02% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 48.53% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 51.47% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 25.75% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 74.25% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 14.3% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 85.7% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Chelmsford City 39.38%
Draw 40.47%
Maidenhead United 20.15%

Team To Score First

Chelmsford City 56.24% (-0.01)
No Goal 7.7% (+0.01)
Maidenhead United 36.06%

Corners

Over 8 60.09% (+0.02)
Equal 8 11.15%
Under 8 28.77%
Over 9 48.53% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.56%
Under 9 39.91% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 37.52% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 62.48% (-0.02)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 1.5 45.61% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 54.39% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 20.45% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 79.55% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 7.09%
Under 3.5 92.91%

Maidenhead United Goals

Over 0.5 60.01% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 39.99% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 25.25% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 74.75% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 7.78%
Under 2.5 92.22%
Over 3.5 2.02%
Under 3.5 97.98%

Score analysis

Chelmsford City 50.18%
Draw 25.2%
Maidenhead United 24.68%
Chelmsford City
1-0 @ 11.55% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 10.14% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.83% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.89%
3-1 @ 4.77%
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.02)
Other @ 7.08%
Total : 50.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.02% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.7% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.69%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.2%
Maidenhead United
0-1 @ 7.83%
1-2 @ 6.27%
0-2 @ 3.59% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.01%
2-3 @ 1.5%
0-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 24.68%

Head to Head

National League South
Apr 11, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Melbourne Cricket Ground
  • Jack Barham 76' goal
  • goal Josh Umerah 89'
National League South
Sep 6, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT