National League South Gameweek 4
Aug 22, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Fullicks Stadium
  • Joe Pigott 49' goal
  • goal Leo Sery 45'+1'

Folkestone Invicta vs Chelmsford City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Folkestone Invicta

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Aug 18, 2026 7.45pm
Maidstone 1 - 1 Folkestone Invicta
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Kevin Lokko

Chelmsford City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Aug 17, 2026 7.45pm
Chelmsford City 0 - 0 Ebbsfleet
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Rhys Browne

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Folkestone Invicta win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 35.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Folkestone Invicta win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (5.59%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-2 (8.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result

Folkestone Invicta 38.61% ▼ (-0.11)
Draw 25.49% ▼ (-0.04)
Chelmsford City 35.9% ▲ (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.99%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.94% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 21.06% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 57.2% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 42.8% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 33.31% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 66.69% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 4.5 20.09% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 79.91% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Folkestone Invicta 31.78%
Draw 39.49% ▲ (+0.04)
Chelmsford City 28.73% ▼ (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Folkestone Invicta 47.27% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 6.3% ▲ (+0.01)
Chelmsford City 46.43% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 57.24% ▲ (+0.15)
Equal 8 10.18%
Under 8 32.58% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 9 46.88% ▲ (+0.15)
Equal 9 10.37% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 42.76% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 10.5 37.08% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 10.5 62.92% ▼ (-0.12)

Folkestone Invicta Goals

Over 1.5 41.92% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 58.08% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 18.13% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 81.87% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 3.5 6.97% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 93.03% ▲ (+0.05)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5 70.55% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 29.45% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 39.72% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 60.28% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 16.92% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 83.08% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 5.99% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.01% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Folkestone Invicta 38.61%
Draw 25.49%
Chelmsford City 35.91%
Folkestone Invicta
2-1 @ 9.07% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.54% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.59% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.47%
3-0 @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 6.86% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 38.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.06% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.41% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.3% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 25.49%
Chelmsford City
1-2 @ 8.4% ▲ (+0.04)
0-1 @ 7.23% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 5.08% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.35% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.25% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.72% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 5.88% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 35.91%