International Friendlies
Jun 7, 2026 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Red Bull Arena
  • Brahim Díaz 8' goal
  • Bilal El Khannouss 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Julian Ryerson 39'
  • goal Martin Ødegaard 75'

Morocco vs Norway - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Morocco

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 2, 2026 6.00pm
Morocco 4 - 0 Madagascar

Norway

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 1, 2026 6.00pm
Norway 3 - 1 Sweden

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Norway had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Norway win was 1-2 (7.8%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result

Morocco 42.15% ▲ (+0.30)
Draw 24.25% ▼ (-0.25)
Norway 33.6%

Both Teams to Score: 

59.75% ▲ (+0.75)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.68% ▲ (+0.72)
Under 1.5 20.32% ▼ (-0.72)
Over 2.5 57.2% ▲ (+1.06)
Under 2.5 42.8% ▼ (-1.06)
Over 3.5 34.85% ▲ (+1.00)
Under 3.5 65.15% ▼ (-1.00)
Over 4.5 20.33% ▲ (+0.78)
Under 4.5 79.67% ▼ (-0.79)

Morocco Goals

Over 1.5 44.86% ▲ (+0.75)
Under 1.5 55.14% ▼ (-0.75)
Over 2.5 20.54% ▲ (+0.62)
Under 2.5 79.46% ▼ (-0.63)
Over 3.5 7.67% ▲ (+0.35)
Under 3.5 92.33% ▼ (-0.36)

Norway Goals

Over 0.5 69.59% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 0.5 30.41% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 1.5 37.71% ▲ (+0.47)
Under 1.5 62.29% ▼ (-0.47)
Over 2.5 15.52% ▲ (+0.38)
Under 2.5 84.48% ▼ (-0.38)
Over 3.5 5.21% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 3.5 94.79% ▼ (-0.19)

Score analysis

Morocco 42.13%
Draw 24.24%
Norway 33.6%
Morocco
2-1 @ 8.88% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 8.08% ▼ (-0.23)
2-0 @ 6.38% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 4.7% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 3.37% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.28% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 7.44% ▲ (+0.35)
Total : 42.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.2% ▼ (-0.17)
2-2 @ 6.18% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 5.11% ▼ (-0.25)
3-3 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.23% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 24.24%
Norway
1-2 @ 7.8%
0-1 @ 7.1% ▼ (-0.23)
0-2 @ 4.93% ▼ (-0.09)
1-3 @ 3.62% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.88% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 2.29%
Other @ 4.98% ▲ (+0.19)
Total : 33.6%