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Montpellier
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 6
Oct 4, 2020 at 12pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Nimes logo

Montpellier
0 - 1
Nimes


Souquet (43'), Savanier (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ripart (84')
Briancon (34')

Preview: Montpellier HSC vs. Nimes - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier and Nimes, including team news and predicted lineups.

Montpellier HSC will be looking to stretch their unbeaten run in Ligue 1 to five games when they play host to Nimes on Sunday lunchtime.

Michel Der Zakarian's side were held to a 2-2 draw by Dijon last time out, while Nimes just about managed to salvage a draw of their own against Lens.


Match preview

Montpellier boss Michel Der Zakarian pictured in March 2019© Reuters

Having put together a three-game winning streak in the French top flight before taking on Dijon - the league's basement side - Montpellier fans would have been expecting to see their side record a convincing victory at the home of the strugglers.

However, Der Zakarian's men were behind for long periods of the game and were indebted to a late penalty from Teji Savanier as they rescued a point against Dijon, who went ahead twice through Eric Ebimbe and Bruno Ecuele Manga.

The result comes as a surprise to a Montpellier side who have stormed into the Champions League places at this early stage of the season - with their record of 12 goals scored from five matches the joint most in the league alongside current leaders Rennes.

Der Zakarian's men will be desperate to prove that the draw with Dijon was just a one-off in their bid to return to European competition, and they ought to be confident of picking up all three points against a Nimes side winless since the opening day.

Nimes manager Jerome Arpinon pictured in February 2019© Reuters

Since trouncing Brest 4-0 in their first game of the season, Nimes have gone four games without taking maximum points and have slipped to 14th in the table.

Following two losses to Nantes and Rennes, Jerome Arpinon has switched to a 4-3-3 formation, and while Nimes have proven more difficult to break down, they were fortunate to come away with a share of the spoils against Lens.

Indeed, Ignatius Ganago's fourth goal of the season looked to have won the game for Lens before Zinedine Ferhat netted three minutes from time to avoid a third loss in four games for Nimes.

The showdown with Montpellier represents the first of three tough fixtures for Les Crocodiles, who face off against champions Paris Saint-Germain and the defensively-sound Bordeaux following the international break.

Montpellier came out on top 1-0 in this fixture last season, while Nimes have not beaten ‎La Paillade since the 2008-09 Ligue 2 campaign.

Montpellier HSC Ligue 1 form: LWWWD

Nimes Ligue 1 form: WLLDD


Team News

Montpellier captain Hilton pictured in February 2017© Reuters

Few changes are expected from the Montpellier side that salvaged a point against Dijon, with right-back Arnaud Souquet set to miss out following a thigh injury and 43-year-old Hilton captaining the side after returning from suspension last weekend.

Junior Sambia can look forward to another start in place of Souquet, while Savanier and Andy Delort both have three goals to their name already this season.

Florent Mollet and Ambroise Oyongo both came off the bench in last weekend's draw and will be pushing for inclusion from the first whistle.

In contrast, Nimes have a hefty injury list to contend with for the weekend showdown, with Sofiane Alakouch, Clement Depres, Sidy Sarr and Moussa Kone among those set to miss out.

Haris Duljevic recently tested positive for coronavirus and will not be involved here either.

Patrick Burner has recently joined Arpinon's side from Nice, and the right-back is in contention to start this one over Gaetan Paquiez.

Montpellier HSC possible starting lineup:
Omlin; Mendes, Congre, Hilton; Sambia, Ferri, Le Tallec, Oyongo; Savanier; Laborde, Delort

Nimes possible starting lineup:
Reynet; Burner, Briancon, Landre, Meling; Cubas, Fomba, Benrahou; Ferhat, Denkey, Ripart


SM words green background

We say: Montpellier HSC 2-0 Nimes

Montpellier's lowly draw against Dijon was certainly an unexpected result for the high-flying ‎Paillade, who will be determined to put things right here. Nimes are in the middle of a tough run of fixtures but have held their own in the past couple of weeks, but we expect the hosts to prevail comfortably in this encounter.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data


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Written by
Ben Knapton

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 53.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Nimes had a probability of 22.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Nimes win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.


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Game History

Who will win Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier and Nimes?

Montpellier
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Nimes
0.0%
0
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG15114040122837
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1593324121230
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239


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