UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League D

Oct 10, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stadionul Zimbru

Moldova
2 - 0
Andorra

Ionita (31'), Cojocaru (90+5')
Motpan (26'), Baboglo (28'), Mudrac (78'), Craciun (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Rosas Ubach (28'), San Nicolas (53'), Vales (88'), Pujol (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Moldova and Andorra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Moldova

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Moldova 1-0 San Marino
Tuesday, September 10 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current League D2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Moldova	0	0	0
2	Malta	0	0	0
3	Andorra	0	0	0

Andorra

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Andorra 0-1 Malta
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League D2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Moldova	0	0	0
2	Malta	0	0	0
3	Andorra	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moldova win with a probability of 72.21%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Andorra had a probability of 8.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moldova win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.7%) and 3-0 (10.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.48%), while for an Andorra win it was 0-1 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Moldova in this match.

Result
Moldova	Draw	Andorra
72.21% ( 1.13)	18.9% ( -0.8)	8.89% ( -0.34)

Both teams to score 36.13% (

0.83)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.85% (

2.01)

53.15% (

-2.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.28% (

1.68)

74.72% (

-1.68)

Moldova Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.57% (

0.97)

13.42% (

-0.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.62% (

1.92)

40.38% (

-1.93)

Andorra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

41.73% (

0.49)

58.27% (

-0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.26% (

0.26)

89.74% (

-0.27)

Score Analysis

Moldova 72.19%

Andorra 8.89%

Draw 18.9%

Moldova	Draw	Andorra
2-0 @ 15.77% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 15.7% ( -0.69) 3-0 @ 10.55% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.7% ( 0.24) 4-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.33) 4-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.22) 5-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.97% Total : 72.19%	1-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.64) 2-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.3% Total : 18.9%	0-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.23% Total : 8.89%