Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 60.79%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 18.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 1-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 1-2 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.