Major League Soccer
Oct 31, 2026 6.00pm
Citi Field

New York City FC vs CF Montreal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 28, 2026 11.30pm
NY City 2 - 1 Atlanta
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Nicolás Fernández Mercau

CF Montreal

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 28, 2026 11.30pm
Charlotte FC 4 - 0 Montreal
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Prince Owusu

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New York City FC win with a probability of 55.44%. A draw has a probability of 22.57% and a win for CF Montreal has a probability of 21.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.13%) , while for a CF Montreal win it is 1-2 (6.03%).

Result

New York City FC 55.44% ▲ (+1.45)
Draw 22.57% ▼ (-0.52)
CF Montreal 21.95% ▼ (-0.93)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.43% ▼ (-0.83)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.54% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 1.5 19.46% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 2.5 59.26% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 40.74% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 3.5 36.18% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 63.82% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 4.5 22.43% ▲ (+0.36)
Under 4.5 77.57% ▼ (-0.36)

First Half Winner

New York City FC 42.81% ▲ (+0.88)
Draw 38.19% ▲ (+0.58)
CF Montreal 18.99% ▼ (-1.47)

Team To Score First

New York City FC 63.04% ▲ (+2.50)
No Goal 5.05% ▼ (-0.09)
CF Montreal 31.91% ▼ (-2.41)

Corners

Over 8 56.97% ▼ (-1.47)
Equal 8 11.8% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 8 31.22% ▲ (+1.51)
Over 9 45.01% ▼ (-1.28)
Equal 9 11.96% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 9 43.03% ▲ (+1.47)
Over 10.5 33.92% ▼ (-0.97)
Under 10.5 66.08% ▲ (+0.97)

New York City FC Goals

Over 1.5 55.7% ▲ (+0.74)
Under 1.5 44.3% ▼ (-0.74)
Over 2.5 29.6% ▲ (+0.90)
Under 2.5 70.4% ▼ (-0.90)
Over 3.5 13% ▲ (+0.78)
Under 3.5 87% ▼ (-0.79)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5 59.05% ▼ (-1.42)
Under 0.5 40.95% ▲ (+1.42)
Over 1.5 27.62% ▼ (-1.24)
Under 1.5 72.38% ▲ (+1.24)
Over 2.5 9.71% ▼ (-0.63)
Under 2.5 90.29% ▲ (+0.64)
Over 3.5 2.8% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 3.5 97.2% ▲ (+0.18)

Score analysis

New York City FC 55.44%
Draw 22.57%
CF Montreal 21.94%
New York City FC
2-1 @ 10.14%
1-0 @ 9.17% ▲ (+0.31)
2-0 @ 8.34% ▲ (+0.19)
3-1 @ 5.97% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 5.69% ▲ (+0.21)
3-2 @ 3.48% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 12.65% ▲ (+0.77)
Total : 55.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.13% ▼ (-0.16)
2-2 @ 5.58% ▼ (-0.22)
0-0 @ 5.05% ▼ (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.35% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 22.57%
CF Montreal
1-2 @ 6.03% ▼ (-0.21)
0-1 @ 5.19% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.14)
1-3 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.13)
2-3 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.13)
0-3 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 2.45% ▼ (-0.18)
Total : 21.94%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Apr 25, 2026 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Saputo
  • Prince Owusu 18' goal
  • Olger Escobar 45' yellowcard
  • Olger Escobar 46' yellowcard
  • Fabian Herbers 70' yellowcard
  • Daniel Ríos 74' yellowcard
  • Daniel Ríos 75' yellowcard
  • Efraín Morales  86' yellowcard
  • Efraín Morales  87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Raul Gustavo 65'
  • yellowcard Talles Magno 65'
  • yellowcard Seymour Reid 65'
  • yellowcard Andrés Perea 82'
  • yellowcard Andrés Perea 83'
Major League Soccer
Jun 29, 2025 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
May 11, 2025 12.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Yankee Stadium
  • Justin Haak 44' yellowcard
  • Justin Haak 44' yellowcard
  • Mitja Ilencic 90' yellowcard
  • Mitja Ilencic 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Samuel Piette 39'
  • yellowcard Samuel Piette 39'
  • goal Prince Osei Owusu 48'
  • goal Prince Osei Owusu 48'
  • yellowcard Joel Waterman 87'
  • yellowcard Joel Waterman 87'
Major League Soccer
Oct 19, 2024 11.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stade Saputo
  • Caden Clark 18' goal
  • Josef Martinez 45'+1' goal
  • Caden Clark 59' yellowcard
  • Joel Waterman 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Justin Haak 7'
  • yellowcard Keaton Parks 69'
  • yellowcard Birk Risa 90'
Major League Soccer
Jul 4, 2024 12.30am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Citi Field
  • Alonso Martinez 9' goal
  • Alonso Martinez 9' goal
  • Alonso Martinez 56' goal
  • Alonso Martinez 56' goal
  • James Sands 90'+3' yellowcard
  • James Sands 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard George Campbell 52'
  • yellowcard George Campbell 52'
Major League Soccer
Aug 31, 2023 12.30am
2
0
HT : 4 0
FT Yankee Stadium
  • Andres Jasson 29' goal
  • Andres Jasson 30' goal
  • Monsef Bakrar 37' goal
  • Monsef Bakrar 37' goal
  • Andres Perea 58' yellowcard
  • Andres Perea 58' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joel Waterman 45'
  • yellowcard Joel Waterman 45'