Major League Soccer
Oct 18, 2026 12.30am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Citi Field
  • Hannes Wolf 28' yellowcard
  • Aiden O'Neill 44' yellowcard
  • Agustín Ojeda 54' yellowcard
  • Andrés Perea 59' goal
  • goal Leo Walta 45'+1'

New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 15, 2026 12.30am
Inter Miami 2 - 0 NY City
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Nicolás Fernández Mercau

Los Angeles FC

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 15, 2026 3.30am
Los Angeles 3 - 1 Austin
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Denis Bouanga

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 39.03%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 36.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.12%) and 0-2 (5.9%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 2-1 (8.24%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result

New York City FC 36.57% ▲ (+0.28)
Draw 24.39% ▼ (-0.40)
Los Angeles FC 39.03% ▲ (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.87% ▲ (+0.31)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.76% ▲ (+0.30)
Under 1.5 21.24% ▼ (-0.30)
Over 2.5 56.37% ▲ (+0.26)
Under 2.5 43.63% ▼ (-0.26)
Over 3.5 33.94% ▲ (+0.37)
Under 3.5 66.06% ▼ (-0.38)
Over 4.5 19.5% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 4.5 80.5% ▼ (-0.21)

First Half Winner

New York City FC 31.39% ▼ (-0.10)
Draw 40.12% ▼ (-0.74)
Los Angeles FC 28.49% ▲ (+0.83)

Team To Score First

New York City FC 49.51% ▲ (+0.15)
No Goal 5.43% ▼ (-0.21)
Los Angeles FC 45.06% ▲ (+0.06)

Corners

Over 8 63.48% ▼ (-5.90)
Equal 8 10.77% ▲ (+0.28)
Under 8 25.75% ▲ (+5.63)
Over 9 51.99% ▼ (-5.51)
Equal 9 11.48% ▼ (-0.41)
Under 9 36.52% ▲ (+5.91)
Over 10.5 40.77% ▼ (-4.57)
Under 10.5 59.23% ▲ (+4.57)

New York City FC Goals

Over 1.5 39.75% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 1.5 60.25% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 2.5 17.02% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 2.5 82.98% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 5.85% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 94.15% ▼ (-0.06)

Los Angeles FC Goals

Over 0.5 73.32% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 0.5 26.68% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 1.5 41.77% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 1.5 58.23% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 2.5 17.97% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 2.5 82.03% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 3.5 6.22% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 93.78% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

New York City FC 36.58%
Draw 24.39%
Los Angeles FC 39.03%
New York City FC
2-1 @ 8.24% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 7.69% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.34% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.04% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 3.05% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 2.56% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 5.66% ▲ (+0.13)
Total : 36.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.15% ▼ (-0.08)
2-2 @ 6.1% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.43% ▼ (-0.21)
3-3 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.19% ▼ (-0.06)
Total : 24.39%
Los Angeles FC
1-2 @ 8.75% ▼ (-0.16)
0-1 @ 8.12% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 5.9% ▲ (+0.08)
1-3 @ 4.3% ▲ (+0.10)
2-3 @ 3.05% ▲ (+0.07)
0-3 @ 2.88% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 6.03% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 39.03%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Feb 8, 2026 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT BMO Stadium
  • goal Nicolas Fernandez 53'
  • goal Nicolás Fernández Mercau 53'
Major League Soccer
Mar 2, 2025 3.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Banc of California Stadium
  • Nathan Ordaz 57' yellowcard
  • Nathan Ordaz 57' yellowcard
  • Ryan Hollingshead 86' goal
  • Ryan Hollingshead 86' goal
  • yellowcard Keaton Parks 41'
  • yellowcard Keaton Parks 41'
  • yellowcard Monsef Bakrar 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Monsef Bakrar 45'+1'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 10
May 29, 2021 10.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Eduard Atuesta 48' yellowcard
  • Corey Baird 56' goal
  • yellowcard Jesus Medina 53'
  • goal Jesus Medina 70'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Acevedo 86'
  • redcard Nicolas Acevedo 86'
  • goal Ismael Tajouri 90'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 19
May 25, 2020 2.00am
Major League Soccer Gameweek 4
Mar 17, 2019 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Yankee Stadium (New York City)
  • Alexandru Mitrita 39' goal
  • Ben Sweat 55' yellowcard
  • Alexander Ring 62' goal
  • Alexander Callens 64' yellowcard
  • Maxime Chanot 88' yellowcard
  • Alexandru Mitrita 90' yellowcard
  • James Sands 91' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Diego Rossi 41'
  • goal Carlos Vela 43'
  • yellowcard Carlos Vela 73'
  • goal Carlos Vela 76'
  • yellowcard Mark-Anthony Kaye 90'
Major League Soccer Gameweek 13
May 14, 2018 1.30am
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Banc of California Stadium (Los Angeles, California)
  • Sebastien Ibeagha 23' goal
  • Eduard Atuesta 28' yellowcard
  • Tyler Miller 32' yellowcard
  • Omar Gaber 37' yellowcard
  • Carlos Vela 66' goal
  • goal David Villa 13'
  • yellowcard Yangel Herrera 16'
  • yellowcard Ben Sweat 62'
  • goal Ismael Tajouri 75'