Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.55%) and 2-0 (5.49%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.