MLS Playoffs
May 24, 2025 9.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Hirving Lozano 29' yellowcard
  • Luca de la Torre 41' goal
  • Hirving Lozano 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Edwin Cerrillo 37'
  • goal Diego Fagundez 40'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Pec 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Miki Yamane 62'
  • yellowcard Marco Reus 84'

San Diego vs Los Angeles Galaxy - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

San Diego

All competitions
MLS Playoffs
Last game
May 15, 2025 3.30am
San Diego 2 - 0 Colorado

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions
MLS Playoffs
Last game
May 15, 2025 12.30am
Philadelphia 3 - 2 LA Galaxy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Diego win with a probability of 57.82%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 20.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Diego win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Los Angeles Galaxy win it was 1-2 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for San Diego in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for San Diego.

Result

San Diego 57.82% (-0.79)
Draw 21.52% (+0.14)
Los Angeles Galaxy 20.66% (+0.66)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.72% (+0.62)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.72% (+0.31)
Under 2.5 40.27% (-0.31)
Over 3.5 37.35% (+0.32)
Under 3.5 62.65% (-0.32)
Over 4.5 20.05% (+0.25)
Under 4.5 79.95% (-0.25)

San Diego Goals

Over 0.5 86.29% (-0.14)
Under 0.5 13.7% (+0.14)
Over 1.5 59.05% (-0.28)
Under 1.5 40.94% (+0.28)

Los Angeles Galaxy Goals

Over 0.5 66.88% (+0.82)
Under 0.5 33.11% (-0.82)
Over 1.5 30.29% (+0.90)
Under 1.5 69.71% (-0.89)

Score analysis

San Diego 57.82%
Draw 21.52%
Los Angeles Galaxy 20.66%
San Diego
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 9.02% (-0.18)
2-0 @ 8.96% (-0.23)
3-1 @ 6.56% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 5.94% (-0.18)
3-2 @ 3.63% (+0.06)
4-1 @ 3.26% (-0.05)
4-0 @ 2.95% (-0.11)
4-2 @ 1.8% (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.3% (-0.03)
5-0 @ 1.17% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 57.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.97% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.47% (+0.11)
0-0 @ 4.54% (-0.07)
3-3 @ 1.34% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.52%
Los Angeles Galaxy
1-2 @ 5.51% (+0.14)
0-1 @ 5.02% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 2.77% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 2.03% (+0.10)
2-3 @ 2.02% (+0.09)
0-3 @ 1.02% (-95.88)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 20.66%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Feb 24, 2025 12.00am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Dignity Health Sports Park
  • yellowcard Anibal Godoy 45'
  • yellowcard Anibal Godoy 45'
  • goal Anders Dreyer 52'
  • goal Anders Dreyer 52'
  • yellowcard Franco Negri 56'
  • yellowcard Franco Negri 56'
  • goal Anders Dreyer 90'+3'
  • goal Anders Dreyer 90'+3'