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FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
Jun 1, 2025 at 12.30am UK
TQL Stadium
DC United

Cincinnati
1 - 2
DC United

Denkey (15', 15')
Miazga (45+4'), Miazga (45+4')
FT(HT: 2-4)
Pirani (2', 2'), Antley (19', 19')
Peltola (44'), Peltola (44'), Murrell (45+4'), Murrell (45+4'), Servania (69'), Servania (69'), Badji (90+4'), Zouhir (90+5'), Badji (90+4'), Zouhir (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 59.03%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for DC United had a probability of 20.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.7%) and 1-0 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a DC United win it was 1-2 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawDC United
59.03% (1.815 1.82)20.83% (-0.645 -0.65)20.14% (-1.165 -1.17)
Both teams to score 59.3% (0.425 0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.2% (1.412 1.41)37.8% (-1.408 -1.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.96% (1.497 1.5)60.04% (-1.492 -1.49)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.45% (0.994 0.99)12.55% (-0.989 -0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.41% (2.019 2.02)38.59% (-2.014 -2.01)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.81% (-0.285 -0.28)32.19% (0.29 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.33% (-0.326 -0.33)68.67% (0.331 0.33)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 59.03%
    DC United 20.14%
    Draw 20.83%
FC CincinnatiDrawDC United
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.7% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
1-0 @ 8.38% (-0.252 -0.25)
3-1 @ 6.82% (0.248 0.25)
3-0 @ 6.02% (0.264 0.26)
3-2 @ 3.87% (0.111 0.11)
4-1 @ 3.54% (0.253 0.25)
4-0 @ 3.12% (0.246 0.25)
4-2 @ 2.01% (0.129 0.13)
5-1 @ 1.47% (0.155 0.16)
5-0 @ 1.3% (0.146 0.15)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 59.03%
1-1 @ 9.5% (-0.363 -0.36)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.04% (-0.28 -0.28)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 20.83%
1-2 @ 5.39% (-0.251 -0.25)
0-1 @ 4.58% (-0.356 -0.36)
0-2 @ 2.6% (-0.224 -0.22)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.04% (-0.112 -0.11)
0-3 @ 0.98% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 20.14%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs DC United

FC Cincinnati
88.2%
Draw
5.9%
DC United
5.9%
17
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2025 12.30am
Jul 4, 2024 12.30am
DC United
2-3
Cincinnati
Rodriguez (24'), Pirani (69')
Santos (14'), McVey (80')
Kelsy (10'), Bucha (39', 63')
Kelsy (50'), Kubo (82')
Mar 10, 2024 7pm
Cincinnati
0-0
DC United
Acosta (55')
Herrera (43'), Stroud (51'), Klich (56'), Santos (71')
Jun 25, 2023 12.30am
DC United
3-0
Cincinnati
Santos (10'), Williams (17'), Dajome (43')
Najar (0'), Najar (64')

Murphy (66')
Murphy (79')
May 7, 2023 12.30am
rhs 2.0


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