Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer | Gameweek 15

Jul 2, 2021 at 2.30am UK

Austin FC Stadium

Austin
4 - 1
Portland

Gallagher (28'), Fagundez (33'), Ring (77'), Jimenez (81')
Kolmanic (44'), Pochettino (45+1'), Fagundez (90+1')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Ebobisse (45+7')
Tuiloma (45+5'), Asprilla (68'), Zuparic (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 56.1%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 23.32% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.08%) and 1-3 (6.78%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 2-1 (5.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Austin FC	Draw	Portland Timbers
23.32%	20.58%	56.1%

Both teams to score 65.12%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.68%

32.33%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.05%

53.95%

Austin FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.69%

26.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.56%

61.45%

Portland Timbers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.38%

11.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.35%

36.65%

Score Analysis

Austin FC 23.32%

Portland Timbers 56.1%

Draw 20.59%

Austin FC	Draw	Portland Timbers
2-1 @ 5.87% 1-0 @ 4.09% 3-2 @ 2.81% 2-0 @ 2.73% 3-1 @ 2.61% 3-0 @ 1.21% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.07% Total : 23.32%	1-1 @ 8.79% 2-2 @ 6.31% 0-0 @ 3.06% 3-3 @ 2.02% Other @ 0.41% Total : 20.59%	1-2 @ 9.46% 0-2 @ 7.08% 1-3 @ 6.78% 0-1 @ 6.58% 0-3 @ 5.08% 2-3 @ 4.53% 1-4 @ 3.65% 0-4 @ 2.73% 2-4 @ 2.44% 1-5 @ 1.57% 0-5 @ 1.18% 3-4 @ 1.08% 2-5 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.88% Total : 56.1%

How you voted: Austin vs Portland

Austin FC

48.5%

Draw

13.6%

Portland Timbers

37.9%