CONCACAF Gold Cup Gameweek 1
Jun 15, 2025 3.15am
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Edson Alvarez 44' goal
  • Raul Jimenez 47' goal
  • Cesar Montes 53' goal
  • Julian Quinones 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Jesus Gallardo 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Peter 51'
  • yellowcard Heinz Morschel 65'
  • goal Edison Azcona 67'
  • yellowcard Jean Carlos Lopez 77'
  • yellowcard Erick Japa 80'

Mexico vs Dominican Republic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last game
Jul 16, 2015 1.30am
Mexico 4 - 4 Trin. & Tob.

Dominican Republic

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mexico win with a probability of 49.62%. A win for Dominican Republic has a probability of 25.66% and a draw has a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Dominican Republic win is 0-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.74%).

Result

Mexico 49.62% (+2.90)
Draw 24.72% (-0.22)
Dominican Republic 25.66% (-2.68)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.33% (-1.49)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.97% (-0.93)
Under 2.5 49.03% (+0.94)
Over 3.5 28.89% (-0.85)
Under 3.5 71.11% (+0.86)
Over 4.5 13.91% (-0.58)
Under 4.5 86.09% (+0.59)

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5 80.22% (+0.85)
Under 0.5 19.79% (-0.85)
Over 1.5 48.16% (+1.36)
Under 1.5 51.84% (-1.35)

Dominican Republic Goals

Over 0.5 66.49% (-2.58)
Under 0.5 33.51% (+2.59)
Over 1.5 29.85% (-2.93)
Under 1.5 70.15% (+2.93)

Score analysis

Mexico 49.61%
Draw 24.72%
Dominican Republic 25.66%
Mexico
1-0 @ 10.74% (+0.67)
2-1 @ 9.52% (+0.19)
2-0 @ 8.7% (+0.76)
3-1 @ 5.14% (+0.24)
3-0 @ 4.7% (+0.52)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.08)
4-1 @ 2.08% (+0.15)
4-0 @ 1.9% (+0.26)
4-2 @ 1.14% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 49.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.74% (-0.08)
0-0 @ 6.63% (+0.25)
2-2 @ 5.2% (-0.28)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.11)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.72%
Dominican Republic
0-1 @ 7.25% (-0.24)
1-2 @ 6.42% (-0.52)
0-2 @ 3.96% (-0.43)
1-3 @ 2.34% (-0.38)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.25)
0-3 @ 1.44% (-0.28)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 25.66%