Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 48.93%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 28.66% and a draw had a probability of 22.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Rennes win was 1-2 (6.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.